 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $310 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$57 |
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $236 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$18 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $215 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$16 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $173 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$8 |
 Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $45 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $38 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $34 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 51¢ | 70¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $21 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 47¢ | 63¢ | +$7 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $262 | 31¢ | 2.3¢ | -$243 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 44¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 34¢ | 37¢ | +$2 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Politics | Yes | $15 | 85¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 7.5¢ | 8.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 43¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.8¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 6.0¢ | 6.6¢ | +$1 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $7 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $5 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 63¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.8¢ | 4.3¢ | +$1 |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 69¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Politics | M | $4 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by October 31?Tech | Yes | $4 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26?Culture | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 34¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $4 | 45¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $3 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Politics | Yes | $3 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?Culture | No | $3 | 90¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
 Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 8.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?Culture | No | $2 | 69¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?Culture | Yes | $2 | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
 Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?Economy | No | $2 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 39¢ | 46¢ | +$0 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 52¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 58¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 36¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 29?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 30?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $4 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?Crypto | NoResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceTennis | Martin LandaluceResolved | $6 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on August 30?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 1?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Hannover 96 leading at halftime?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 31?Weather | NoResolved | $3 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| England leading at halftime?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 31?Weather | NoResolved | $7 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 30?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $0 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Solana Up or Down - August 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?Weather | NoResolved | $2 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the announcers say "Transition" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 12?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on September 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 26?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on August 31?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by August 31?Finance | NoResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "AOC" or "Ocasio-Cortez" during events in Rockland County?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 7?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "No No No" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Premier League | OverResolved | $16 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?Finance | NoResolved | $4 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 1?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions League | YesResolved | $4 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 31?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$18h ago