← Whale Watch

ogi250

Predicting since Aug 20251,768 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $542 across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$50679¢78¢-$9
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?PoliticsNo$35483¢93¢+$41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$7685¢94¢+$7
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$5435¢34¢-$2
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$3672¢66¢-$3
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$1344¢79¢+$10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1523¢24¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1273¢95¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$732¢63¢+$7
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1276¢80¢+$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$1270¢69¢-$0
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$1152¢52¢+$0
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$919¢24¢+$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$654¢76¢+$2
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsNo$649¢65¢+$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$331¢57¢+$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$549¢63¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$628¢27¢-$0
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsYes$670¢69¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$570¢77¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$617¢14¢-$1
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$553¢53¢-$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?PoliticsNo$589¢93¢+$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$590¢90¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$336¢53¢+$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$423¢24¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsYes$551¢37¢-$1
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?WeatherYes$253¢83¢+$1
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$552¢36¢-$2
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?CultureNo$390¢88¢-$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$217¢17¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$260¢78¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$214¢16¢+$0
Will Trump Airport become law this year?PoliticsYes$1248¢6.5¢-$11
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$136¢70¢+$1
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$19.0¢8.5¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$161¢95¢+$0
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?Soccer (other)NoResolved$476¢0.0¢-$4
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceTennisMartin LandaluceResolved$667¢0.0¢-$6
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?PoliticsNoResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?MentionsYesResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$110.6¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1291¢0.0¢-$12
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1548¢0.0¢-$15
England leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$449¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Goat" in May?MentionsYesResolved$3033¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?PoliticsYesResolved$322¢0.0¢-$3
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2044¢0.0¢-$20
Will the announcers say "Transition" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$195¢0.0¢-$1
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 12?PoliticsYesResolved$481¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 7?WeatherYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump say "AOC" or "Ocasio-Cortez" during events in Rockland County?MentionsYesResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?MentionsYesResolved$292¢0.0¢-$2
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Premier LeagueOverResolved$1675¢0.0¢-$16
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-02?MLSNoResolved$1542¢0.0¢-$15
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?FinanceNoResolved$482¢0.0¢-$4
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?MentionsYesResolved$2122¢0.0¢-$21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$442¢0.0¢-$4
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23767¢0.0¢-$237
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$3051¢0.0¢-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison KeysTennisVictoria MbokoResolved$945¢0.0¢-$9
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 7?WeatherYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances TiafoeTennisJaime FariaResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Hottest" during King Charles visit?MentionsYesResolved$6354¢0.0¢-$63
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$7291¢0.0¢-$72
Will Trump say "Cat" in May?MentionsYesResolved$992¢0.0¢-$9
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)NBASpursResolved$444¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?MentionsYesResolved$3092¢0.0¢-$30
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)NBAThunderResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1128¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump say "Christmas" in May?MentionsYesResolved$1895¢0.0¢-$18
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?BundesligaNoResolved$374¢0.0¢-$3
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?TechYesResolved$217.9¢0.0¢-$21
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBCleveland GuardiansResolved$163¢0.0¢-$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$3916¢0.0¢-$39
Trump kiss by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco ComesanaTennisFrancisco ComesanaResolved$1225¢0.0¢-$12
Pogon Szczecin vs. Legia Warszawa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$674¢0.0¢-$6
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-03?Soccer (other)NoResolved$358¢0.0¢-$3
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$29.3¢0.0¢-$2
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?World CupNoResolved$450¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$619¢0.0¢-$6
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5BundesligaOverResolved$265¢0.0¢-$2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?TechYesResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?PoliticsNoResolved$038¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long?PoliticsNoResolved$255¢0.0¢-$2
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$566¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2131¢0.0¢-$21
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1419¢0.0¢-$14
Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5La LigaUnderResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Bond" in June?MentionsYesResolved$896¢0.0¢-$8
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$463¢0.0¢-$4
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1083¢0.0¢-$10
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2041¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1440¢0.0¢-$14
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$621
Mentions-$158
Crypto-$53
Soccer (other)-$43
MLS-$29
Tennis-$27
NBA-$24
MLB-$23
Tech-$22
Basketball (other)+$22
La Liga-$19
Premier League-$16
Biggest hit
+$35
Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?
Toughest beat
-$46
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$51h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$51h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$23h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$24h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$25h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$55h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$25h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$45h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$66h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$67h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$27h ago