← Whale Watch

bakayo33 - 9934

Predicting since Jan 2021752 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.6K on Politics markets since Jan 2021.

Right now: $784 riding on Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$78481¢86¢+$39
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$57325¢27¢+$46
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$56786¢94¢+$50
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$41491¢93¢+$9
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$38786¢89¢+$10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$41381¢71¢-$54
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$32191¢95¢+$16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30888¢92¢+$12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$28387¢92¢+$16
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25269¢79¢+$37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$24782¢95¢+$37
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23877¢90¢+$41
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$24180¢93¢+$37
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25786¢91¢+$15
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$25996¢96¢+$1
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21577¢89¢+$32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$24674¢74¢-$3
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$23169¢69¢+$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsNo$19084¢90¢+$14
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18191¢93¢+$4
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$18090¢92¢+$3
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$17085¢91¢+$11
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$18867¢64¢-$10
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$15989¢91¢+$3
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$14578¢88¢+$18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$363.6¢16¢+$122
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$13253¢63¢+$25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$12880¢92¢+$18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$13973¢77¢+$6
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$13366¢69¢+$5
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$12663¢68¢+$10
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$13668¢68¢-$1
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$12790¢95¢+$6
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?PoliticsNo$10972¢79¢+$10
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?PoliticsNo$10386¢97¢+$13
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$11582¢82¢+$1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsNo$9976¢89¢+$16
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?PoliticsNo$9176¢93¢+$20
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$9075¢91¢+$19
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$9478¢83¢+$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$9090¢96¢+$5
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8168¢78¢+$12
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9191¢93¢+$2
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsNo$7573¢89¢+$16
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$8787¢91¢+$4
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$13650¢32¢-$51
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$6250¢67¢+$22
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$7587¢96¢+$8
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$8214¢14¢+$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?PoliticsNo$6669¢87¢+$16
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$8585¢82¢-$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$7972¢72¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$4224¢43¢+$32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$6874¢80¢+$5
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$5125¢35¢+$19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$6481¢86¢+$4
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7070¢68¢-$2
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$6051¢56¢+$7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$4372¢99¢+$16
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?PoliticsNo$5184¢93¢+$6
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4168¢94¢+$16
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?PoliticsNo$4474¢91¢+$10
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$4228¢35¢+$11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$4272¢88¢+$9
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$4895¢99¢+$2
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$4869¢70¢+$1
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$3632¢44¢+$13
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$4371¢80¢+$5
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$5366¢60¢-$5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$7434¢21¢-$28
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$3323¢33¢+$13
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?PoliticsNo$3571¢90¢+$9
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$4336¢37¢+$1
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2755¢88¢+$16
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$4575¢73¢-$2
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$4081¢86¢+$2
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3875¢85¢+$5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$3076¢99¢+$9
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$3570¢79¢+$4
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$3672¢78¢+$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3762¢65¢+$2
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$3681¢81¢-$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$102.4¢8.8¢+$26
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3449¢50¢+$0
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$2972¢87¢+$6
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$4848¢34¢-$15
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2855¢67¢+$6
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?PoliticsNo$3092¢98¢+$2
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$18466¢12¢-$152
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAKyle Prepolec$2821¢24¢+$3
UFC Fight Night: Jovan Leka vs. Max Gimenis (Heavyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAJovan Leka$3253¢51¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2856¢56¢+$0
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMANo$2773¢73¢-$0
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$5240¢20¢-$26
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$262.2¢2.1¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2068¢81¢+$4
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2391¢98¢+$2
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMAYes$1220¢40¢+$12
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$602.6¢0.9¢-$38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$3562¢39¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.6K
Boxing+$331
UFC / MMA+$238
Crypto+$188
College Football-$154
Other sports-$149
Economy-$130
Champions League+$83
NBA+$59
NFL+$54
Premier League+$45
La Liga+$23
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?$1714m ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$173h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$54h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$44h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$84h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$74h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$34h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$44h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$35h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?$185h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$305h ago
  • Bought No · Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$56h ago