 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $521 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$18 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $93 | 9.3¢ | 5.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$21 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | Yes | $1.7K | 70¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1.7K |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $322 | 29¢ | 0.1¢ | -$321 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $1.2K | 59¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | Yes | $130 | 6.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$129 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $340 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$340 |
 Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $60 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Politics | NoResolved | $200 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $155 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
 Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?Mentions | NoResolved | $40 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 TrumpRX launched by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $240 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
 Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFL | NoResolved | $500 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Grok 4.20 released by February 28?Tech | NoResolved | $325 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$325 |
 Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $111 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $200 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $200 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $223 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$223 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Politics | YesResolved | $220 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$220 |
 Israel military action on Yemen before June?Politics | NoResolved | $1.6K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $73 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $500 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $210 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Tech | NoResolved | $1000 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1000 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $500 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Will 'Dispatch' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Other sports | YesResolved | $30 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Tech | NoResolved | $400 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Culture | NoResolved | $70 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $76 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $600 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1.1K | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3.6K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.6K |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 16, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $210 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?Politics | NoResolved | $671 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$671 |
| TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Politics | NoResolved | $300 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $200 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |