← Belugo Whale Watch

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
$1.4M volumeYes 92¢No 8.1¢
Sharp lean: 99% Yes1% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
92¢- 1
DumplingBMFSharp$49K - 2
tsybkaSharp$41K - 3hopedieslastSharp$32K
- 4Azrarn$14K
- 5TerreMoto$11K
- 6
John-Silver$10K - 7R79dgahrSharp$8.3K
- 8MarvelFan94$7.4K
- 9MonacoLover$6.4K
- 10Donkolo$5.5K
- 11dedpepe$5.5K
- 12forinnerpsandr1x11222$4.8K
- 13most8$4.5K
- 14
CryptoGo$3.9K - 15
Bromley86$3.7K - 16firewalker923$3.1K
- 17
Everestpredictions$2.9K - 18BTCGambler247Sharp$2.9K
- 19elPolloLocoSharp$2.8K
- 20
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04$2.8K
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
8.1¢- 1lionkinglionkinglionking$5.1K
- 2Bigticket21$4.4K
- 3
yen4u$3.6K - 4
nufonehudis67$1.0K - 50xD054e72B9E7995a6900AA8ceD24DcfbD12007e38-1771157416749$873
- 6funkyfella$615
- 7Dota2winner$543
- 8HerrieDavisSharp$516
- 9
GrandNegroniSlurpClub$484 - 10Shminni$402
- 11avean$372
- 12Gojohnnygo$322
- 13
Poivre$322 - 14EatprayloveSharp$249
- 150xFA6492546b13E7b40c84868d2466aa2093AE7E3D-1769774917991$242
- 16cr9$233
- 17TulipoII$232
- 18Entropy8$225
- 19thetagains$207
- 20amused85$199
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,799 out of No @ 8.6¢Linslav1d ago
- $3,194 out of No @ 10¢neo77772d ago
- $27,188 out of Yes @ 90¢
tsybka3d ago - $1,103 out of No @ 10¢
ZnotluvuiSamez3d ago - $8,045 on Yes @ 87¢
tsybka4d ago - $1,289 on No @ 13¢Linslav4d ago
- $5,246 out of Yes @ 89¢
tsybka5d ago - $2,561 out of Yes @ 85¢sdiff1236d ago
- $2,972 on No @ 15¢
yen4u7d ago - $2,859 on No @ 14¢
yen4u7d ago - $3,511 out of Yes @ 92¢Laurenman10d ago
- $1,750 on No @ 7.0¢neo777711d ago
- $2,118 out of Yes @ 94¢Laurenman13d ago
- $12,486 out of Yes @ 94¢
tsybka13d ago - $1,052 out of Yes @ 94¢sneedly913d ago
- $1,184 out of Yes @ 94¢0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-178216897890013d ago
- $1,165 out of Yes @ 94¢0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-178216897890013d ago
- $1,449 on Yes @ 94¢0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-178216897890013d ago
- $1,226 on Yes @ 94¢flameron13d ago
- $2,341 out of Yes @ 94¢0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-178216897890014d ago