 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $250K | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$126 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25K | 47¢ | 88¢ | +$21K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5.6K | 11¢ | 85¢ | +$38K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $38K | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$3.9K |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $38K | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$3.4K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 4.9¢ | 82¢ | +$35K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $24K | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$4.2K |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $14K | 42¢ | 63¢ | +$6.7K |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $17K | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$2.0K |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $6.0K | 39¢ | 98¢ | +$9.1K |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $11K | 3.8¢ | 5.1¢ | +$3.6K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8.2K | 37¢ | 63¢ | +$5.7K |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $8.1K | 67¢ | 81¢ | +$1.8K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $7.6K | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$1.3K |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 3.5¢ | 14¢ | +$6.3K |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5.9K | 9.6¢ | 12¢ | +$1.7K |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $6.6K | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$700 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $27K | 37¢ | 9.5¢ | -$20K |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $6.0K | 30¢ | 27¢ | -$565 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $9.1K | 7.4¢ | 4.3¢ | -$3.8K |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4.1K | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | +$885 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.5K | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$250 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $3.5K | 83¢ | 97¢ | +$576 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$231 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $617 | 17¢ | 97¢ | +$2.8K |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 11¢ | 24¢ | +$1.8K |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 1.6¢ | 5.1¢ | +$2.2K |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $2.8K | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$331 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $124 | 0.8¢ | 20¢ | +$3.0K |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 5.2¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4.1K | 1.5¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics | No | $2.6K | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$185 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2.7K | 2.6¢ | 2.6¢ | +$20 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 43¢ | 34¢ | -$638 |
 Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$94 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $2.0K | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$558 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$545 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$268 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $2.5K | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$113 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Politics | No | $2.2K | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$140 |
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.2K | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$122 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $2.3K | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$29 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $2.2K | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$260 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3.0K | 9.0¢ | 5.8¢ | -$1.1K |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$46 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.6K | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$328 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $2.6K | 82¢ | 57¢ | -$797 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $698 | 27¢ | 71¢ | +$1.1K |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $718 | 36¢ | 93¢ | +$1.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$60 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Politics | No | $1.9K | 54¢ | 50¢ | -$158 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$105 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$4 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$2.2K |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $455 | 0.6¢ | 2.4¢ | +$1.2K |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 37¢ | 56¢ | +$561 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $2.3K | 38¢ | 27¢ | -$656 |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$34 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$63 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$88 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $1.3K | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$194 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $1.3K | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$151 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $1.5K | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$24 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.2K | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$257 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $645 | 0.7¢ | 1.6¢ | +$737 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.0K | 58¢ | 76¢ | +$338 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 91¢ | 83¢ | -$133 |
 Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.3K | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$56 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | Yes | $1.1K | 67¢ | 80¢ | +$206 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $1.3K | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$66 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.2K | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$122 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$122 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 78¢ | 57¢ | -$455 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.3K | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$62 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $529 | 34¢ | 79¢ | +$694 |
 Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $1.2K | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$54 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$14 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $571 | 3.4¢ | 6.6¢ | +$531 |
 Tom Lee charged by December 31?Crypto | No | $989 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$84 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $830 | 64¢ | 81¢ | +$233 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $4.9K | 32¢ | 7.0¢ | -$3.8K |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $991 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$27 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $2.1K | 9.2¢ | 4.3¢ | -$1.1K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $970 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $1.4K | 93¢ | 62¢ | -$490 |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $964 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$17 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics | No | $892 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$25 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $1.6K | 58¢ | 33¢ | -$677 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 40¢ | 12¢ | -$2.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $799 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
 Don Lemon sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $824 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$29 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $793 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$22 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $864 | 81¢ | 73¢ | -$95 |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $749 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$17 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $744 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$8 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $652 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$64 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 26¢ | 14¢ | -$650 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $700 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$36 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $570 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$91 |
