Bet1nthedark

Predicting since Jul 2024245 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $49K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $62K riding on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$13K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$17K	84¢	86¢	+$290
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$16K	59¢	45¢	-$3.9K
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics	No	$11K	89¢	94¢	+$593
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$10K	88¢	95¢	+$800
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$8.0K	86¢	94¢	+$699
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	No	$7.5K	97¢	99¢	+$188
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$12K	58¢	34¢	-$5.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$4.0K	87¢	88¢	+$35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	No	$3.2K	73¢	80¢	+$291
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$3.3K	95¢	97¢	+$62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$6.6K	40¢	20¢	-$3.4K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$3.0K	58¢	58¢	-$3
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$2.4K	1.9¢	2.5¢	+$608
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2.0K	87¢	93¢	+$129
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics	No	$2.0K	88¢	91¢	+$60
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$631	88¢	95¢	+$50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1.5K	13¢	0.0¢	-$1.5K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$62K	94¢	0.0¢	-$62K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$49K

Crypto+$14K

Boxing+$3.6K

World Cup+$2.6K

UFC / MMA+$2.3K

Tennis+$598

Economy-$305

Culture-$100

Other sports+$100

Premier League-$67

Formula 1-$31

Biggest hit

+$13K

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$7.6K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Recent moves

Sold No · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1822h ago
Sold No · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$13h ago
Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2.0K4h ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5508h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.0K1d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$2241d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$891d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1071d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$2.6K1d ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$01d ago
Cashed out No · Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?$1.0K2d ago
Sold No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.7K3d ago