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Bet1nthedark

Predicting since Jul 2024219 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $41K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $62K riding on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$13K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$27K82¢95¢+$4.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$21K77¢81¢+$1.0K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10K88¢91¢+$336
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$9.0K87¢92¢+$431
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8.0K86¢92¢+$512
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.4K100¢100¢+$8
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$5.0K96¢97¢+$55
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.5K89¢94¢+$177
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K88¢88¢-$3
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K98¢98¢-$1
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K87¢92¢+$106
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.5K89¢93¢+$58
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.4K1.9¢1.1¢-$1.1K
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K98¢100¢+$19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K94¢89¢-$70
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K97¢99¢+$30
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K76¢78¢+$26
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K83¢85¢+$24
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K98¢99¢+$17
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K84¢82¢-$24
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$65852¢56¢+$51
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$63188¢95¢+$50
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$42088¢93¢+$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$62K94¢0.0¢-$62K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$41K
Crypto+$14K
Boxing+$3.6K
World Cup+$2.6K
UFC / MMA+$1.6K
Tennis+$415
Economy-$305
Culture-$100
Other sports+$100
Premier League-$67
Formula 1-$31
Biggest hit
+$13K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$7.6K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$2710h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1810h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3210h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$3210h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1710h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$610h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$52710h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$37519h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$7119h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$3821h ago
  • Bought No · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$85922h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$5922h ago