 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $4.3K | 81¢ | 74¢ | -$388 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3.0K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$59 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 38¢ | 92¢ | +$1.7K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.9K | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$21 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2.2K | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$200 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$62 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.5K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.0K | 9.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$556 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $701 | 47¢ | 86¢ | +$578 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $910 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$35 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 69¢ | 18¢ | -$2.7K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $704 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$12 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2.2K | 37¢ | 12¢ | -$1.5K |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $653 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $470 | 2.3¢ | 2.9¢ | +$122 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $523 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $430 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $429 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$39 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $354 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$15 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $335 | 65¢ | 71¢ | +$28 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $316 | 49¢ | 54¢ | +$29 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $504 | 27¢ | 17¢ | -$191 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $233 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $210 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$15 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $227 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $132 | 33¢ | 55¢ | +$86 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $206 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$11 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $194 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
 Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $186 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $181 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $193 | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$6 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $157 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$23 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $76 | 41¢ | 97¢ | +$104 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $158 | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$13 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $151 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$18 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $164 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $120 | 64¢ | 85¢ | +$39 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $180 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$23 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $147 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $128 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $141 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $319 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$194 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $118 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?Crypto | Yes | $23 | 15¢ | 77¢ | +$91 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $149 | 58¢ | 42¢ | -$42 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $103 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $83 | 66¢ | 59¢ | -$9 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $68 | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $56 | 3.3¢ | 4.0¢ | +$13 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $58 | 59¢ | 69¢ | +$9 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 57¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $54 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $57 | 67¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $14 | 24¢ | 92¢ | +$39 |
 Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $53 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14?Crypto | Up | $23 | 47¢ | 97¢ | +$25 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $16 | 13¢ | 39¢ | +$32 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $38 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$9 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $39 | 69¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $15 | 23¢ | 50¢ | +$18 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $31 | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$0 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $28 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $29 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$13 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $16 | 11¢ | 17¢ | +$9 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $25 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$12 |
 Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $50 | 2.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$29 |
 Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $19 | 31¢ | 31¢ | -$0 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 12¢ | 8.4¢ | -$9 |
 Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Mentions | No | $17 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $49 | 16¢ | 5.9¢ | -$31 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in September?Crypto | No | $15 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$2 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $18 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $17 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $12 | 70¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $31 | 31¢ | 16¢ | -$15 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 22¢ | 64¢ | +$9 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 14¢ | 40¢ | +$9 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 72¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $73 | 6.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$60 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $16 | 2.2¢ | 1.7¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.2¢ | 2.6¢ | +$2 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 33¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $17 | 70¢ | 47¢ | -$6 |
 NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $31 | 2.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$20 |
 Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $15 | 9.2¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $26 | 15¢ | 5.0¢ | -$17 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $8 | 64¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?$56h ago