← Whale Watch

Fallon

Predicting since Oct 2024245 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$9399¢99¢-$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? PoliticsNo$7199¢98¢-$0
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of July?FinanceYes$5099¢98¢-$0
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $170 end of July?FinanceYes$4599¢96¢-$1
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4098¢100¢+$1
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$3598¢100¢+$0
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by July 31?PoliticsNo$3497¢99¢+$1
Will Natisha Brooks be the TN-06 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$3397¢100¢+$1
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?PoliticsNo$4696¢70¢-$13
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3297¢99¢+$1
Will the US lose jobs in July?EconomyNo$3097¢96¢-$0
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by July 31?PoliticsNo$2998¢100¢+$0
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$2596¢99¢+$1
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July?EconomyNo$2488¢91¢+$1
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31?PoliticsNo$2291¢99¢+$2
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?EconomyNo$2298¢96¢-$0
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$2198¢99¢+$0
French election called by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2095¢99¢+$1
James Comey charges dropped by July 31?PoliticsNo$2095¢98¢+$1
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$1892¢92¢+$0
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? CultureNo$1894¢96¢+$0
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by more than 15%?PoliticsNo$1794¢100¢+$1
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 0.0%?EconomyNo$1797¢93¢-$1
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$1694¢93¢-$0
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$1496¢99¢+$0
Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1396¢97¢+$0
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1292¢98¢+$1
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?PoliticsNo$1296¢98¢+$0
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$1082¢94¢+$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1198¢99¢+$0
Will Shang-Chi die in Avengers: Doomsday?CultureNo$1493¢73¢-$3
Kash Patel out by July 31?PoliticsNo$1095¢99¢+$0
Weed rescheduled by July 31?PoliticsNo$1095¢99¢+$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$997¢99¢+$0
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?EconomyNo$888¢94¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$894¢98¢+$0
Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$888¢92¢+$0
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?PoliticsNo$897¢99¢+$0
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?PoliticsNo$1090¢73¢-$2
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$897¢98¢+$0
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by July 31?PoliticsNo$786¢96¢+$1
Will Zoe Saldaña appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$1493¢52¢-$6
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?PoliticsNo$787¢94¢+$1
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?EconomyNo$787¢93¢+$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$777¢87¢+$1
Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?CultureNo$879¢73¢-$1
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?PoliticsNo$591¢98¢+$0
Will Tony Brown win the 2026 GA-13 special election?PoliticsNo$598¢100¢+$0
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of July?FinanceYes$590¢95¢+$0
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by July 31?PoliticsNo$377¢94¢+$1
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$494¢99¢+$0
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $214 in July?FinanceNo$376¢98¢+$1
Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$378¢92¢+$1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?PoliticsNo$387¢95¢+$0
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?CryptoNo$560¢36¢-$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$283¢77¢-$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?EconomyYes$17.1¢7.0¢-$0
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$373¢0.0¢-$3
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$184¢0.0¢-$1
Will anyone say "Let's Go" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?MentionsYesResolved$485¢0.0¢-$4
Will the announcers say "Khabib" or "Oliveira" during McGregor vs Holloway?UFC / MMAYesResolved$177¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netflix say "User" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$590¢0.0¢-$5
Will Netflix say "NFL" / "Football" during earnings call?MentionsYesResolved$485¢0.0¢-$4
Will Leavitt say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?MentionsNoResolved$989¢0.0¢-$9
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$889¢0.0¢-$8
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?TechNoResolved$163¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$38
Finance+$19
Mentions-$18
Tech+$16
Culture-$7
Economy+$5
Weather+$2
Crypto-$2
World Cup+$1
UFC / MMA+$1
eSports+$1
Other+$1
Biggest hit
+$4
Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?
Toughest beat
-$12
Will Trump say "Transgender" during G7 events?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will MrBeast say "Calendar" during his next YouTube video?$1219h ago
  • Bought No · Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$931d ago
  • Bought No · Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in July?$241d ago
  • Bought No · Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by at least 20%?$471d ago
  • Bought No · Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?$221d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US lose jobs in July?$301d ago
  • Bought No · Will Natisha Brooks be the TN-06 Republican nominee?$332d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?$162d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $36.5B?$102d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above 1,400 koz?$112d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?$52d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?$22d ago