| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 58¢ | 55¢ | -$94 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $860 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$20 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $627 | 51¢ | 48¢ | -$40 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $523 | 62¢ | 65¢ | +$22 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $295 | 61¢ | 84¢ | +$106 |
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA | No | $200 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$200 |
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?Culture | No | $364 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $328 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$14 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $418 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$82 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $562 | 39¢ | 17¢ | -$324 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $253 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$33 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $186 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$32 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $233 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$26 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $192 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $197 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$13 |
Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $161 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $112 | 62¢ | 87¢ | +$44 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 31¢ | 63¢ | +$63 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $111 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 28¢ | 90¢ | +$76 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $75 | 64¢ | 87¢ | +$26 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $68 | 20¢ | 30¢ | +$32 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Politics | No | $74 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $63 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$15 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Crypto | Yes | $126 | 4.9¢ | 1.8¢ | -$82 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $31 | 49¢ | 69¢ | +$13 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $63 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$23 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$6 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $34 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Crypto | Yes | $59 | 2.3¢ | 1.4¢ | -$24 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | Yes | $37 | 8.5¢ | 7.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 63¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$15 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | Yes | $31 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$14 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $14 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $96 | 79¢ | 11¢ | -$83 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $113 | 5.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$101 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | Yes | $313 | 24¢ | 0.8¢ | -$303 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 2.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$33 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.7¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$1 |
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 26¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $2 | 36¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 71¢ | 46¢ | -$2 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.2¢ | 0.8¢ | -$5 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)World Cup | NetherlandsResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $164 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Crypto | YesResolved | $16 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $34 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Spread: Germany (-1.5)World Cup | CuraçaoResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)World Cup | NetherlandsResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $49 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $26 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $36 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Politics | NoResolved | $524 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$524 |
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | GermanyResolved | $119 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$119 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World Cup | YesResolved | $26 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMLB | Arizona DiamondbacksResolved | $95 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | YesResolved | $32 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)World Cup | EcuadorResolved | $42 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers HyderabadCricket | Chennai Super KingsResolved | $4 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?Crypto | YesResolved | $94 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Spread: Germany (-3.5)World Cup | GermanyResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $36 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $64 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?Crypto | YesResolved | $17 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $15 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |