 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $624 | 49¢ | 84¢ | +$436 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 55¢ | 55¢ | -$9 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 64¢ | 44¢ | -$470 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $827 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$159 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $801 | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$120 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $740 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$95 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $716 | 59¢ | 67¢ | +$86 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.0K | 57¢ | 42¢ | -$274 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $596 | 71¢ | 88¢ | +$139 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $466 | 67¢ | 96¢ | +$205 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $564 | 51¢ | 60¢ | +$91 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $240 | 60¢ | 92¢ | +$126 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $264 | 51¢ | 66¢ | +$76 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Politics | No | $249 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$42 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $222 | 74¢ | 96¢ | +$66 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $174 | 58¢ | 68¢ | +$29 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $173 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$24 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $167 | 57¢ | 63¢ | +$17 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $211 | 53¢ | 45¢ | -$31 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 42¢ | 58¢ | +$35 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Politics | Yes | $142 | 28¢ | 22¢ | -$34 |
 Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics | No | $51 | 46¢ | 66¢ | +$21 |
 Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)Politics | No | $58 | 58¢ | 47¢ | -$11 |
 Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 69¢ | 77¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $36 | 12¢ | 8.6¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 63¢ | 54¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $41 | 28¢ | 6.9¢ | -$31 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $9 | 2.9¢ | 2.1¢ | -$2 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $5 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | 4.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1 | 65¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $107 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Politics | NoResolved | $46 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $124 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.3K3d ago