 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $5.8K | 71¢ | 83¢ | +$964 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $761 | 9.6¢ | 19¢ | +$712 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $785 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$55 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $415 | 74¢ | 81¢ | +$41 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $154 | 34¢ | 98¢ | +$295 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $219 | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$21 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 7.7¢ | 27¢ | +$166 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $180 | 63¢ | 81¢ | +$53 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $219 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$10 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $212 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $220 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 5.3¢ | 20¢ | +$126 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $192 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$24 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $391 | 45¢ | 17¢ | -$247 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $75 | 19¢ | 23¢ | +$17 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $93 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $110 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$23 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $72 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $99 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$32 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$14 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 1.4¢ | 7.3¢ | +$51 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $56 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $86 | 22¢ | 15¢ | -$28 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $43 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?Politics | Yes | $15 | 30¢ | 98¢ | +$34 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$24 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $32 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $440,000 and $447,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $31 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $30 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $33 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?Economy | Yes | $12 | 12¢ | 26¢ | +$15 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Economy | Yes | $33 | 32¢ | 25¢ | -$8 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$4 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Economy | Yes | $33 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$9 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $23 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $15 | 5.4¢ | 8.0¢ | +$7 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics | No | $18 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $7 | 24¢ | 58¢ | +$10 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $14 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $14 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $18 | 6.3¢ | 5.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $13 | 42¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $17 | 6.1¢ | 2.9¢ | -$9 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.8¢ | +$4 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | Yes | $11 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.7¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Economy | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?Economy | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?Economy | No | $5 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Economy | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $23 | 8.1¢ | 1.7¢ | -$18 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Economy | No | $5 | 99¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Economy | No | $5 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 4.2¢ | +$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?Economy | Yes | $1 | 1.4¢ | 3.9¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Economy | No | $4 | 82¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $3 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $23 | 5.1¢ | 0.7¢ | -$20 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 2.7¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 2.1¢ | +$2 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $86 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | -$84 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $33 | 7.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$31 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Economy | No | $2 | 82¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $87 | 19¢ | 0.4¢ | -$85 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $21 | 4.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$19 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $8 | 2.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $9 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$7 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.6¢ | 2.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.3¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
Cashed out No · Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on July 25?$613h ago
Cashed out No · Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?$1413h ago