 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $148 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
 Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $131 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $82 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $90 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $76 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$24 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $86 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | NoResolved | $90 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $87 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $94 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $69 | 69¢ | 98¢ | +$29 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $88 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $88 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $79 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$14 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $75 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
 Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $48 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $48 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $48 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $43 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $40 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 60¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $35 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
 Another Elon baby by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $15 | 73¢ | 64¢ | -$2 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?Crypto | No | $4 | 43¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Mentions | YesResolved | $14 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Ryanair say "Weather" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $27 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 2025 September third hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $100 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Crypto | NoResolved | $138 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Mentions | YesResolved | $16 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 98¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will "Scott" or "Bessent" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Leader" or "Leadership" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Mentions | YesResolved | $14 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump say "Zelenskyy" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $13 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be greater than 2,500,000?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?Crypto | NoResolved | $87 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Coinbase say "Blockchain" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $13 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $30 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will PayPal say "Bank" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will "Too late" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 15,000,000 and 15,250,000?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Powell say "Not our job" during January press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?Crypto | NoResolved | $15 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?Mentions | YesResolved | $21 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Crypto | NoResolved | $81 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will GE Vernova say "China" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Melania say "President Trump" during AI talk on Friday?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Finance | NoResolved | $48 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $112 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Killing" or "Execution" during NewsNation interview?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $223 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$223 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $43 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 19 - January 25 be less than 14,250,000?Politics | NoResolved | $86 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
| Will Trump say "Bessent" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Crypto | NoResolved | $19 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?Crypto | NoResolved | $154 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$154 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Finance | NoResolved | $93 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google say "Wiz" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Google say "Quantum" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" or "Machado" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Mentions | YesResolved | $14 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |