 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $40 | 2.0¢ | 17¢ | +$290 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $25 | 59¢ | 84¢ | +$11 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $31 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
 Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 64¢ | +$9 |
 SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?Politics | No | $28 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 56¢ | 79¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?Politics | No | $25 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.0¢ | 14¢ | +$20 |
 Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Politics | No | $21 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$3 |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics | Yes | $17 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?Politics | Yes | $13 | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Government shutdown by October 1?Politics | No | $10 | 60¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 37¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 52¢ | 88¢ | +$6 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 80¢ | +$8 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? Politics | No | $12 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
 Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 64¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 73¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 34¢ | 89¢ | +$7 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $8 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 91¢ | 63¢ | -$4 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 52¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
 Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 58¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 56¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 56¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 18¢ | 26¢ | +$3 |
 Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 73¢ | 59¢ | -$2 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | No | $9 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 86¢ | 58¢ | -$4 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 41¢ | 21¢ | -$8 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 18¢ | 77¢ | +$6 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
 Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 63¢ | 48¢ | -$2 |
 Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
 Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Politics | Yes | $8 | 63¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $31 | 68¢ | 13¢ | -$25 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $5 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 California High-Earner Permanent Tax PropositionPolitics | Yes | $5 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $10 | 47¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 72¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 46¢ | 29¢ | -$3 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 47¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 79¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 13¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
 Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 41¢ | +$2 |
 Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)Politics | National | $6 | 60¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 32¢ | 9.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 50¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 63¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $4 | 80¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 27¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 62¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 55¢ | +$2 |
 Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by October 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 64¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 55¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Economy | Down | $8 | 24¢ | 9.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Rebels capture Gao by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 16¢ | -$4 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Colorado in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
 California voter ID referendum passes?Politics | Yes | $5 | 55¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
 Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 6.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Politics | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 52¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
 Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 11¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
 Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 29¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 55¢ | 11¢ | -$10 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 8.0¢ | -$4 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 40¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.7¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
Cashed out Yes · Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$331d ago
Cashed out Over · Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?$3463d ago
Bought No · Will Russia target Kyiv on September 2, 2026?$28d ago
Cashed out No · Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$59d ago
Bought No · Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?$09d ago
Cashed out No · Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$59d ago
Cashed out No · Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?$129d ago
Cashed out No · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?$109d ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$459d ago