 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $31 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $28 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?Politics | No | $25 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 62¢ | +$8 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $25 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $31 | 68¢ | 57¢ | -$5 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 56¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
 Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 62¢ | 70¢ | +$3 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Politics | No | $21 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?Politics | No | $28 | 94¢ | 70¢ | -$7 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 53¢ | 45¢ | -$4 |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 68¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
 Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Politics | No | $24 | 77¢ | 62¢ | -$5 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?Politics | No | $15 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 64¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
| Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $22 | 70¢ | 59¢ | -$4 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 41¢ | 46¢ | +$2 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 42¢ | +$7 |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics | Yes | $17 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
| Will John Curtis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Politics | No | $18 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 NBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?NBA | No | $5 | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
| Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | No | $20 | 62¢ | 50¢ | -$4 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $14 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 82¢ | 57¢ | -$6 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 74¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? Politics | No | $12 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 62¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?Politics | Yes | $13 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 79¢ | 67¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 52¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
 Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 91¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 55¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
 FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?Tech | Yes | $9 | 59¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 82¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
| Will John Curtis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | No | $20 | 62¢ | 34¢ | -$9 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $7 | 62¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics | No | $7 | 33¢ | 50¢ | +$4 |
 US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 86¢ | 67¢ | -$3 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 56¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Something | $5 | 11¢ | 21¢ | +$4 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Government shutdown by October 1?Politics | No | $10 | 60¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | No | $9 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 56¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 63¢ | 58¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
| Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | No | $25 | 75¢ | 26¢ | -$16 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 54¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?Politics | No | $9 | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by July 31?Politics | No | $7 | 68¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 73¢ | 54¢ | -$3 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Economy | Down | $8 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 47¢ | 25¢ | -$7 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
 Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $8 | 87¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 56¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 41¢ | +$2 |
 Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 58¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 22¢ | 39¢ | +$3 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 52¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $8 | 76¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $125B?Other | No | $9 | 67¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 72¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?Weather | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 52¢ | 23¢ | -$7 |
 California High-Earner Permanent Tax PropositionPolitics | Yes | $5 | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.7¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 68¢ | 12¢ | -$25 |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above $150B?Other | Yes | $4 | 42¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 32¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 46¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
 NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)Politics | National | $6 | 60¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 13¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $5 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?Other | No | $3 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
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