Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5.0K | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$488 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6.4K | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2.8K |
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 31¢ | 22¢ | -$935 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $967 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$105 |
Trump out as President before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $322 | 29¢ | 50¢ | +$220 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $456 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$20 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $254 | 25¢ | 43¢ | +$171 |
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sports | No | $148 | 34¢ | 73¢ | +$164 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $600 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$289 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $200 | 22¢ | 33¢ | +$95 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $519 | 12¢ | 6.5¢ | -$230 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $540 | 2.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$272 |
Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | Yes | $209 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$6 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $146 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$15 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $496 | 18¢ | 5.5¢ | -$347 |
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics | No | $146 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $70 | 70¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?Politics | Yes | $230 | 10¢ | 4.0¢ | -$142 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $200 | 18¢ | 7.0¢ | -$123 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $100 | 2.8¢ | 2.1¢ | -$24 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $200 | 10¢ | 3.7¢ | -$127 |
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $111 | 9.9¢ | 5.0¢ | -$55 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $100 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$45 |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 19¢ | 9.5¢ | -$50 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $100 | 23¢ | 9.5¢ | -$59 |
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 10.0¢ | 20¢ | +$20 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | Yes | $38 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 11¢ | 6.7¢ | -$16 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 11¢ | 3.6¢ | -$26 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 21¢ | 2.9¢ | -$86 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 21¢ | -$6 |
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 21¢ | 3.8¢ | -$17 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $216 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$216 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $142 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US strike on Mexico by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $700 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$700 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
US strike on Cuba by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $182 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
Will the US strike Iran next?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $56 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $720 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$720 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $126 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $205 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
| Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?World Cup | NoResolved | $6 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1.4K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $140 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
Trump out as President by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $231 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$231 |
Fed rate cut by October meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Fed rate cut in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $64 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | NoResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Tech | NoResolved | $100 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $400 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $82 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $31 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Trump cabinet member out before July?Politics | YesResolved | $222 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$222 |
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |