← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Apr 2025201 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.9K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $6.4K riding on Trump out as President before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$2.7K on US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$5.0K22¢20¢-$488
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$6.4K13¢7.5¢-$2.8K
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsYes$3.2K31¢22¢-$935
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$96724¢22¢-$105
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$32229¢50¢+$220
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$45691¢95¢+$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$25425¢43¢+$171
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsNo$14834¢73¢+$164
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$60014¢7.5¢-$289
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$20022¢33¢+$95
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$51912¢6.5¢-$230
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5402.1¢1.1¢-$272
Will Trump nationalize elections?PoliticsYes$20919¢20¢+$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$14673¢80¢+$15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$49618¢5.5¢-$347
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsNo$14673¢75¢+$3
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherYes$7070¢95¢+$25
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?PoliticsYes$23010¢4.0¢-$142
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$20018¢7.0¢-$123
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1002.8¢2.1¢-$24
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$20010¢3.7¢-$127
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$1119.9¢5.0¢-$55
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$10022¢12¢-$45
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsYes$10019¢9.5¢-$50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$10023¢9.5¢-$59
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2110.0¢20¢+$20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsYes$3819¢14¢-$9
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4011¢6.7¢-$16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$4011¢3.6¢-$26
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$10021¢2.9¢-$86
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$1050¢21¢-$6
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsYes$2121¢3.8¢-$17
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12014¢0.0¢-$120
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?PoliticsYesResolved$203.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$21627¢0.0¢-$216
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2036¢0.0¢-$20
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1422.5¢0.0¢-$142
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4014¢0.0¢-$40
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$10010¢0.0¢-$100
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10026¢0.0¢-$100
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?PoliticsYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
US strike on Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$20010¢0.0¢-$200
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$70023¢0.0¢-$700
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$209.0¢0.0¢-$20
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
US strike on Cuba by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1003.8¢0.0¢-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10032¢0.0¢-$100
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18213¢0.0¢-$182
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$2411¢0.0¢-$24
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$4010¢0.0¢-$40
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?PoliticsYesResolved$202.5¢0.0¢-$20
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$409.0¢0.0¢-$40
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?PoliticsYesResolved$4032¢0.0¢-$40
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5614¢0.0¢-$56
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$72024¢0.0¢-$720
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12614¢0.0¢-$126
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$1269.0¢0.0¢-$126
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10052¢0.0¢-$100
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$200.2¢0.0¢-$20
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2052.4¢0.0¢-$205
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?World CupNoResolved$62.5¢0.0¢-$6
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$10010.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$10056¢0.0¢-$100
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$205.7¢0.0¢-$20
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?PoliticsYesResolved$206.9¢0.0¢-$20
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$203.9¢0.0¢-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K14¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1002.5¢0.0¢-$100
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?PoliticsYesResolved$6015¢0.0¢-$60
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?PoliticsYesResolved$1003.9¢0.0¢-$100
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$10016¢0.0¢-$100
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1305.3¢0.0¢-$130
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$30010¢0.0¢-$300
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$394.5¢0.0¢-$39
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?PoliticsYesResolved$10015¢0.0¢-$100
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3005.4¢0.0¢-$300
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?PoliticsNoResolved$2044¢0.0¢-$20
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$14070¢0.0¢-$140
Trump out as President by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2313.6¢0.0¢-$231
Fed rate cut by October meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$10010¢0.0¢-$100
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$400.8¢0.0¢-$40
Fed rate cut in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$649.1¢0.0¢-$64
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?MentionsNoResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$206.6¢0.0¢-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$207.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?TechNoResolved$10033¢0.0¢-$100
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$40038¢0.0¢-$400
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8241¢0.0¢-$82
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?PoliticsYesResolved$404.6¢0.0¢-$40
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3110¢0.0¢-$31
Trump cabinet member out before July?PoliticsYesResolved$22238¢0.0¢-$222
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?PoliticsYesResolved$500.1¢0.0¢-$50
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$806.9¢0.0¢-$80
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4824¢0.0¢-$48
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$803.2¢0.0¢-$80
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2016¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$4014¢0.0¢-$40
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$408.9¢0.0¢-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$5.9K
Economy-$356
Tech-$260
Weather+$236
Finance+$195
Crypto+$182
Other sports+$144
Culture+$70
World Cup-$51
Mentions-$40
Biggest hit
+$2.7K
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$858
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$215h ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$1121h ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$111d ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$1961d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$391d ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$801d ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$1921d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$601d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1048d ago