Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 40¢ | 77¢ | +$6 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $9 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 43¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $5 | 51¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 33¢ | 61¢ | +$3 |
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Politics | Yes | $5 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 69¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Finance | Yes | $4 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in September 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?Tech | Yes | $4 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $4 | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
Blue wave in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 65¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $4 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 65¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $3 | 66¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 39¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $3 | 72¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 69¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 48¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 68¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 29¢ | +$1 |
Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 65¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12?Politics | Yes | $4 | 85¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 71¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 68¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 56¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1 |
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $2 | 42¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
Will Jozef Králik win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 9.7¢ | -$3 |
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 7.1¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 45¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 65¢ | 37¢ | -$1 |
Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Culture | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 5.8¢ | -$4 |
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 48¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 37¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazTennis | Carlos AlcarazResolved | $4 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 320k and 360k?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 21.5Tennis | UnderResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Finance | NoResolved | $4 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Executive Order signing?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $3 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |