Michael5289

Predicting since Dec 20242,254 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.5K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Biggest hit: +$1.5K on Will U.S. tourism decline in April?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$410	82¢	95¢	+$63
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Politics	No	$384	80¢	88¢	+$38
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Politics	Yes	$297	96¢	99¢	+$8
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$236	81¢	95¢	+$38
New pandemic in 2026?Politics	No	$184	63¢	94¢	+$87
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$130	65¢	97¢	+$64
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics	No	$89	92¢	96¢	+$4
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	No	$83	83¢	93¢	+$10
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy	No	$85	77¢	84¢	+$7
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Politics	No	$77	96¢	97¢	+$0
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather	No	$52	87¢	98¢	+$7
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Other sports	Yes	$45	89¢	97¢	+$4
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Politics	No	$49	89¢	88¢	-$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics	Yes	$45	91¢	96¢	+$3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$45	90¢	91¢	+$0
Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026?Crypto	No	$39	86¢	98¢	+$5
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Street Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	Yes	$45	99¢	80¢	-$9
Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?Crypto	Yes	$36	86¢	79¢	-$3
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?Politics	Yes	$56	85¢	46¢	-$26
Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$26	79¢	90¢	+$3
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Other sports	No	$21	69¢	94¢	+$7
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?Tech	No	$24	81¢	87¢	+$2
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	Yes	$26	99¢	95¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Politics	No	$20	79¢	91¢	+$3
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics	No	$23	91¢	89¢	-$1
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$18	65¢	81¢	+$4
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$23	57¢	53¢	-$2
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?Culture	No	$12	76¢	100¢	+$4
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?Politics	Yes	$15	41¢	40¢	-$0
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026?Politics	No	$15	82¢	75¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Breaking News" in July?Mentions	No	$11	88¢	96¢	+$1
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$8	82¢	96¢	+$1
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Politics	No	$9	86¢	94¢	+$1
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	No	$5	99¢	95¢	-$0
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	No	$5	99¢	95¢	-$0
Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	No	$5	99¢	95¢	-$0
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Tech	No	$3	85¢	95¢	+$0
Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Street Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	No	$5	99¢	64¢	-$2
Who will win the gold medal in BMX Dirt Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?Other sports	Yes	$2	99¢	100¢	+$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup	YesResolved	$10	27¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Future President" in July?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	93¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 16?Politics	YesResolved	$29	9.6¢	0.0¢	-$29

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$5.5K

Tech+$2.2K

Weather+$1.0K

UFC / MMA+$324

Mentions+$174

Culture+$127

Finance+$110

Crypto+$34

World Cup-$10

Economy+$8

Golf+$3

eSports+$1

Biggest hit

+$1.5K

Will U.S. tourism decline in April?

Toughest beat

-$357

US military action against Iran by Saturday?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in BMX Dirt Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?$142m ago
Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in BMX Dirt Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?$145m ago
Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Street Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?$554m ago
Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Women's Skateboard Street Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?$4554m ago
Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?$51h ago
Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?$51h ago
Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?$51h ago
Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Park Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?$261h ago
Cashed out Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Women's BMX Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$3052h ago
Cashed out No · Who will win the gold medal in Women's BMX Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$422h ago
Bought Yes · Who will win the gold medal in Women's BMX Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$507h ago
Bought No · Who will win the gold medal in Women's BMX Park at X Games New Orleans 2026?$427h ago