Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $84 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Politics | No | $44 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 63¢ | 77¢ | +$8 |
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$5 |
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | No | $44 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $44 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $35 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $34 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$3 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 64¢ | 77¢ | +$4 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 39¢ | 46¢ | +$4 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Politics | No | $21 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 29¢ | 61¢ | +$11 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 40¢ | 25¢ | -$12 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$7 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | No | $10 | 57¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $11 | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $22 | 33¢ | 19¢ | -$10 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 46¢ | 55¢ | +$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?Politics | No | $10 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 46¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 63¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 47¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $8 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 84¢ | 64¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 57¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $11 | 31¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 70¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 77¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 53¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 56¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $3 | 48¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $25 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Conor McGregorResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | United StatesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | PortugalResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | BrazilResolved | $10 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | NorwayResolved | $10 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Men's Group B - Italy vs. SlovakiaHockey (other) | ItalyResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $30 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |