← Whale Watch

moonlight2020

Predicting since Apr 2026187 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $18K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $20K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$7.5K on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$10K50¢57¢+$1.4K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10K50¢43¢-$1.4K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$14K89¢51¢-$6.0K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$2.0K98¢100¢+$26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K80¢80¢-$10
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$1.4K92¢96¢+$63
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$90390¢92¢+$19
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$66298¢100¢+$9
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?FinanceYes$48095¢96¢+$7
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?PoliticsYes$24983¢92¢+$26
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?FinanceYes$17089¢88¢-$2
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoYes$13013¢12¢-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$9696¢97¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$994¢100¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$18K
Crypto+$15K
World Cup+$1.7K
Mentions+$741
Tech-$719
Culture-$475
eSports+$450
College Hoops+$182
Finance-$152
Biggest hit
+$7.5K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$13K
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4912h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?$812h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?$892h ago
  • Cashed out No · Over $7.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale?$2533h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?$325h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1901d ago
  • SPLIT Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.0K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2.8K1d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$8261d ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?$2.0K2d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$4822d ago