 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $20K | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$2.9K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $20K | 50¢ | 43¢ | -$2.9K |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $14K | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$542 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10K | 90¢ | 82¢ | -$871 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $3.9K | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$482 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$211 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $797 | 6.9¢ | 17¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.7K | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$91 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.6K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$60 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?Weather | Yes | $323 | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$986 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBA | Yes | $196 | 16¢ | 98¢ | +$981 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $843 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$279 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $608 | 61¢ | 76¢ | +$153 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $741 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$16 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $714 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$9 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $521 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$67 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $439 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$71 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $250 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$112 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $355 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $198 | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$132 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $296 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $173 | 60¢ | 99¢ | +$109 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $245 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$17 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?Culture | Yes | $40 | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$204 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $178 | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$63 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $195 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$28 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $268 | 27¢ | 22¢ | -$47 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $179 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$22 |
 Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $158 | 58¢ | 73¢ | +$41 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $115 | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$72 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on July 26?Weather | Yes | $101 | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$79 |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | Yes | $154 | 59¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $132 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $99 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$48 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $103 | 69¢ | 91¢ | +$34 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $136 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Culture | Yes | $121 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $104 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$27 |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $38 | 29¢ | 98¢ | +$92 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $78 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$38 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $68 | 54¢ | 87¢ | +$42 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $61 | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $28 | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$72 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $96 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 23¢ | 38¢ | +$39 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $73 | 74¢ | 97¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $61 | 42¢ | 63¢ | +$30 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $69 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?Weather | Yes | $62 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$21 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $107 | 5.8¢ | 4.3¢ | -$28 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $80 | 9.8¢ | 9.2¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $60 | 0.5¢ | 0.7¢ | +$15 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $51 | 67¢ | 98¢ | +$24 |
| Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $107 | 35¢ | 24¢ | -$35 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $18 | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$53 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $17 | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$51 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $62 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $66 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?Weather | Yes | $32 | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 65¢ | +$54 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $61 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $45 | 75¢ | 98¢ | +$13 |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Economy | Yes | $43 | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $47 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$5 |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 66¢ | 74¢ | +$5 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | No | $35 | 55¢ | 80¢ | +$15 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $44 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $38 | 26¢ | 34¢ | +$11 |
 Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | Yes | $43 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?Culture | Yes | $13 | 20¢ | 73¢ | +$33 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $33 | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $30 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics | Yes | $37 | 66¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $25 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
| Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | Yes | $24 | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 1.7¢ | 0.9¢ | -$30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $34 | 34¢ | 29¢ | -$5 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $22 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $321 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$293 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 32¢ | 78¢ | +$16 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $25 | 43¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July?Tech | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 63¢ | +$15 |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
| Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 22¢ | 53¢ | +$14 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?Culture | Yes | $23 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 26?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 57¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $22 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBA | Yes | $561 | 47¢ | 1.8¢ | -$540 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | Yes | $16 | 55¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 43¢ | 28¢ | -$9 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $23 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$6 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?Tech | Yes | $24 | 60¢ | 39¢ | -$9 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Culture | Yes | $9 | 15¢ | 25¢ | +$6 |
| Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 34¢ | -$5 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 25?Weather | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | Yes | $10 | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $44 | 34¢ | 12¢ | -$29 |
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