 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $927 | 51¢ | 35¢ | -$305 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $428 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $150 | 67¢ | 85¢ | +$39 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $121 | 58¢ | 79¢ | +$44 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $122 | 64¢ | 69¢ | +$8 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 55¢ | 86¢ | +$28 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $58 | 65¢ | 88¢ | +$19 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $55 | 57¢ | 73¢ | +$15 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 68¢ | 91¢ | +$16 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?Politics | Yes | $81 | 64¢ | 51¢ | -$17 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$7 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $55 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $54 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $54 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $50 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$6 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | No | $50 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $24 | 1.2¢ | 2.5¢ | +$25 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | No | $38 | 62¢ | 80¢ | +$11 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $33 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$11 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $21 | 39¢ | 81¢ | +$23 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $55 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | -$12 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 7.9¢ | 13¢ | +$17 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $34 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$7 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $42 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $35 | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$4 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $34 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$5 |
 Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 19¢ | 33¢ | +$16 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 69¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $31 | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $23 | 25¢ | 41¢ | +$14 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $34 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $35 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $41 | 63¢ | 51¢ | -$8 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 34¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?Finance | No | $30 | 56¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $28 | 2.3¢ | 2.6¢ | +$4 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 2.8¢ | 3.5¢ | +$6 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 47¢ | 81¢ | +$13 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $52 | 44¢ | 25¢ | -$23 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $25 | 5.1¢ | 5.7¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 44¢ | 28¢ | -$16 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 5.2¢ | 6.3¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 67¢ | 37¢ | -$22 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $31 | 83¢ | 70¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?Politics | Yes | $24 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $25 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Finance | No | $25 | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Politics | No | $22 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $30 | 20¢ | 15¢ | -$8 |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | No | $20 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 21¢ | +$8 |
 Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $16 | 63¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
 Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 48¢ | +$10 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $22 | 63¢ | 55¢ | -$3 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $29 | 36¢ | 23¢ | -$11 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$4 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $12 | 1.1¢ | 1.6¢ | +$5 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $26 | 65¢ | 42¢ | -$9 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Tech | No | $16 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 54¢ | +$6 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 61¢ | 54¢ | -$2 |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.6¢ | 5.9¢ | +$9 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 59¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 8.3¢ | 5.7¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?Politics | Yes | $16 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 57¢ | 81¢ | +$4 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $10 | 63¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $15 | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $2 | 4.7¢ | 37¢ | +$11 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Politics | Yes | $13 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $12 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
 Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Tech | No | $13 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 34¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 86¢ | 42¢ | -$13 |
 Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?Crypto | No | $10 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 56¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Clavicular sentenced to prison?Culture | No | $10 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.4¢ | 1.9¢ | +$3 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | No | $10 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4461d ago
Sold Yes · Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?$21d ago
Sold No · Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$61d ago
Sold No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$111d ago
Sold No · Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$211d ago
Sold No · Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?$381d ago
Sold No · Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$151d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?$111d ago