Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $117 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $102 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$11 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $112 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$5 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $99 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $98 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $86 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $67 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $70 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $55 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $63 | 5.2¢ | 5.1¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Politics | No | $53 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$3 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $49 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Politics | No | $50 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | No | $50 | 76¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $44 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 47¢ | 57¢ | +$8 |
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $38 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $34 | 20¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 44¢ | 34¢ | -$9 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $31 | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $30 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | No | $31 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$2 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $28 | 2.3¢ | 2.4¢ | +$1 |
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?Finance | No | $30 | 56¢ | 51¢ | -$3 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 7.9¢ | 8.5¢ | +$2 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 70¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 46¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $25 | 5.1¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 2.8¢ | 2.6¢ | -$1 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 45¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $23 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $20 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 61¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $24 | 1.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$3 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $20 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
James Norton announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $1 | 1.1¢ | 22¢ | +$19 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $20 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$4 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $18 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | No | $17 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?Crypto | No | $17 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 8.3¢ | 6.3¢ | -$6 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 22¢ | +$16 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $14 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $17 | 33¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 59¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $16 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 1.7¢ | 1.6¢ | -$1 |
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $15 | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 3.5¢ | 3.5¢ | -$0 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $16 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $15 | 85¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 69¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.4¢ | 2.4¢ | +$5 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 4.3¢ | 4.9¢ | +$1 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $12 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $11 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $12 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $2 | 4.7¢ | 30¢ | +$9 |
Clavicular sentenced to prison?Culture | No | $10 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto | No | $9 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 7.0¢ | 16¢ | +$5 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 4.2¢ | 4.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.8¢ | 3.2¢ | -$2 |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31?Economy | Yes | $10 | 61¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?Politics | No | $12 | 39¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.5¢ | 3.0¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $5 | 37¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.3¢ | 2.3¢ | -$0 |