← Whale Watch

mangoking05

Predicting since Jan 20267,804 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.9K on Crypto markets since Jan 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$11761¢63¢+$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$10273¢81¢+$11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$11286¢82¢-$5
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$9982¢82¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$9886¢86¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8691¢94¢+$3
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$6757¢56¢-$1
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$7014¢14¢-$4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$5580¢93¢+$9
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$6160¢63¢+$2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$635.2¢5.1¢-$2
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?PoliticsNo$5383¢95¢+$8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5375¢79¢+$3
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$4982¢94¢+$7
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$5087¢91¢+$2
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5186¢88¢+$1
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$5096¢99¢+$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5087¢88¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5257¢56¢-$1
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$5050¢50¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsNo$4867¢69¢+$1
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherNo$5076¢74¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$4488¢93¢+$2
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$3547¢57¢+$8
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$3886¢89¢+$1
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?TechNo$2569¢99¢+$11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3420¢20¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?PoliticsNo$4344¢34¢-$9
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$3168¢74¢+$3
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3092¢91¢-$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3020¢20¢-$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$3069¢68¢-$1
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?PoliticsNo$3159¢55¢-$2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$282.3¢2.4¢+$1
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?FinanceNo$3056¢51¢-$3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$257.9¢8.5¢+$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2570¢76¢+$2
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?PoliticsYes$2846¢44¢-$2
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2488¢98¢+$3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$255.1¢5.1¢+$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$2586¢86¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2569¢68¢-$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$262.8¢2.6¢-$1
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$250.9¢0.9¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$2545¢43¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2392¢92¢-$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2514¢12¢-$3
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$2091¢99¢+$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1561¢88¢+$7
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$241.2¢1.1¢-$3
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2186¢85¢-$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechNo$2063¢63¢-$0
James Norton announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$11.1¢22¢+$19
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$2029¢27¢-$1
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$2219¢16¢-$4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$1575¢92¢+$3
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$1815¢15¢+$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?PoliticsNo$1787¢88¢+$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$1785¢87¢+$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?CryptoNo$1783¢85¢+$0
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$228.3¢6.3¢-$6
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$1766¢66¢-$0
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$10.9¢22¢+$16
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$1490¢100¢+$2
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$1733¢31¢-$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$1559¢63¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1591¢93¢+$0
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1663¢62¢-$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$171.7¢1.6¢-$1
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyNo$1569¢70¢+$0
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$153.5¢3.5¢-$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$1679¢76¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$1587¢86¢-$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?PoliticsNo$1490¢92¢+$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$1492¢92¢-$0
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNo$1585¢76¢-$2
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1069¢89¢+$3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$81.4¢2.4¢+$5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1426¢24¢-$1
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsYes$1313¢13¢+$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$140.7¢0.7¢-$1
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$114.3¢4.9¢+$1
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1215¢16¢+$1
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$1313¢13¢-$1
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$111.1¢1.1¢+$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1224¢24¢-$0
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$24.7¢30¢+$9
Clavicular sentenced to prison?CultureNo$1086¢87¢+$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?PoliticsYes$813¢15¢+$1
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoNo$989¢89¢-$0
Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31?PoliticsYes$47.0¢16¢+$5
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$987¢88¢+$0
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$94.2¢4.0¢-$1
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$103.8¢3.2¢-$2
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31?EconomyYes$1061¢50¢-$2
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$99.0¢8.5¢-$1
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?PoliticsNo$1239¢28¢-$3
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$72.5¢3.0¢+$1
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceNo$537¢57¢+$3
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$82.3¢2.3¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$1.9K
World Cup-$156
Culture+$46
Politics-$20
Weather-$16
Tech+$10
Economy-$6
NBA-$5
Golf-$4
eSports-$1
Finance-$0
Biggest hit
+$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Toughest beat
-$95
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?$13h ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$259h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026?$210h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$510h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$210h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?$510h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$410h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?$310h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?$410h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2411h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?$211h ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1317h ago