Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 15¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2.3K |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 8.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$806 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | Yes | $1.2K | 4.5¢ | 2.8¢ | -$463 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $2.8K | 32¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2.1K |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $155 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$33 |
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $105 | 58¢ | 30¢ | -$51 |
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | Yes | $173 | 2.6¢ | 0.7¢ | -$130 |
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $53 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$16 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 20¢ | 8.5¢ | -$46 |
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $39 | 10¢ | 8.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $960 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$960 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $769 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$769 |
Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3.9K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.9K |
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $443 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$443 |
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?Tech | YesResolved | $26 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $200 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $5.0K | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.0K |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Tech | NoResolved | $50 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Kash Patel out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $281 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$281 |
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?Finance | YesResolved | $160 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $200 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $985 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$985 |
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $374 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$374 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Kash Patel out by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $350 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $175 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$175 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $310 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$310 |
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $500 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $266 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$266 |