 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $5.8K | 50¢ | 77¢ | +$3.1K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $6.2K | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$179 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$360 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1.8K | 47¢ | 86¢ | +$1.5K |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 56¢ | 76¢ | +$790 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Finance | No | $3.0K | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$47 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.5K | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$502 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $2.8K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$54 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $2.6K | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$165 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $5.8K | 50¢ | 23¢ | -$3.1K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.4K | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$255 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.7K | 75¢ | 97¢ | +$515 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$94 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $1.1K | 56¢ | 77¢ | +$410 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $960 | 68¢ | 94¢ | +$360 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 43¢ | 45¢ | +$49 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $810 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$137 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $780 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$145 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $859 | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $660 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$135 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $715 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$45 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $749 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$624 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $409 | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$73 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $380 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$88 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $330 | 66¢ | 87¢ | +$105 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $350 | 35¢ | 41¢ | +$55 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $344 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$30 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $184 | 70¢ | 87¢ | +$45 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $193 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$18 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $450 | 45¢ | 14¢ | -$310 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | No | $114 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $61 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $30 | 0.6¢ | 0.9¢ | +$17 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $65 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$17 |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $45 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $83 | 47¢ | 14¢ | -$58 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 19¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 50¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 60¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Bought No · Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$2955h ago