 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $35 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?Tech | No | $35 | 95¢ | 80¢ | -$6 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $20 | 90¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $15 | 75¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $10 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $10 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 63¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $8 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 56¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Crypto | No | $5 | 55¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 55¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $5 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sports | No | $5 | 75¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $6 | 72¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 73¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Anthropic | $5 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $5 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Tech | No | $5 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Weather | No | $5 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Economy | No | $5 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoCrypto | Nothing | $5 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech | No | $5 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 67¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
| Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 98¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 62¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 64¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $5 | 41¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 65¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? Culture | No | $4 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 86¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $3 | 61¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 72¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 81¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 40¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 59¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | Google | $3 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Elon Bull Run ParlayTech | No | $3 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 28¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $2 | 55¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in July?Politics | No | $2 | 71¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $2 | 65¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 91¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 83¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 94¢ | 41¢ | -$3 |
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