 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | YesResolved | $93 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $101 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $101 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $92 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?Politics | No | $98 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?Politics | No | $97 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $97 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $97 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $94 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $84 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $92 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Politics | No | $90 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $89 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $85 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $83 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | No | $84 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $82 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $84 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 71¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $61 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $64 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $56 | 53¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $55 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 51¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $54 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $50 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Politics | NoResolved | $51 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 47¢ | 49¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 61¢ | 57¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 48¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $44 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $41 | 39¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 72¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech | Yes | $51 | 51¢ | 37¢ | -$15 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 34¢ | 33¢ | -$2 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $32 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $29 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 26¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
 Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $10 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $9 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$0 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $21 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $8 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 6.8¢ | 7.2¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$1 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ | 7.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $7 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $5 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 5.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$1 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Aurélien Tchouaméni score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World Cup | NoResolved | $4 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump deport 200-300k people?Politics | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $3 | 68¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?Crypto | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Sold No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$9315m ago
Sold Yes · GTA 6 launch postponed again?$11h ago
Bought Yes · Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$12h ago