NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 19¢ | 34¢ | +$62 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $77 | 9.5¢ | 5.5¢ | -$32 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$24 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | Yes | $147 | 13¢ | 2.2¢ | -$123 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics | Yes | $121 | 10¢ | 1.8¢ | -$99 |
EU dissolves before 2027?Politics | Yes | $60 | 4.7¢ | 1.5¢ | -$41 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 6.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$16 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 82¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
US civil war before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Another US bank failure by February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |