← Whale Watch

Judea-Pearl

Predicting since Apr 2026344 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$9460¢57¢-$5
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?TechNo$8787¢88¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$3956¢88¢+$22
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$3355¢100¢+$27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?TechYes$4553¢54¢+$1
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3987¢96¢+$4
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$3280¢92¢+$5
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$2226¢27¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2066¢68¢+$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$1937¢26¢-$6
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1068¢69¢+$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$812¢12¢-$1
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsYes$1325¢14¢-$6
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$556¢73¢+$1
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$554¢55¢+$0
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsYes$44.7¢3.1¢-$1
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechYes$318¢19¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$214¢14¢-$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?TechNoResolved$197.0¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?TechNoResolved$721¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$720
Tech+$169
Weather+$164
Finance-$75
Crypto-$64
World Cup+$20
NBA-$15
Soccer (other)-$13
Economy-$12
Mentions-$0
Biggest hit
+$81
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Toughest beat
-$342
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$2616h ago
  • Bought Yes · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$21d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?$21d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$02d ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$02d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Tesla say "Software" during earnings call?$02d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$02d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$02d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$192d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$202d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?$02d ago