← Whale Watch

DonPanic

Predicting since Sep 20241,752 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.5K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $4.5K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.7K on Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.7K25¢14¢-$1.1K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$88088¢89¢+$5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$62979¢92¢+$103
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$68398¢97¢-$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsYes$1.7K19¢6.8¢-$1.1K
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$38095¢99¢+$17
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?TechYes$3868.8¢9.0¢+$8
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$32050¢61¢+$69
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$26052¢77¢+$124
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$20441¢69¢+$143
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$35489¢78¢-$44
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$26969¢75¢+$22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsYes$19364¢96¢+$94
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?TechYes$3657.4¢4.5¢-$144
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$20167¢67¢+$0
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16889¢98¢+$17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$17458¢59¢+$2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$16555¢55¢-$2
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$25214¢7.5¢-$121
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$8989¢99¢+$10
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$9843¢34¢-$20
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10020¢11¢-$45
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$19514¢3.9¢-$141
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsYes$3913¢11¢-$6
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$3010.0¢4.5¢-$16
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$379.5¢3.1¢-$25
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$675¢87¢+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$85.5¢1.1¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$6.5K
Crypto+$4.3K
Tech+$3.4K
Boxing-$1.1K
Culture+$864
eSports-$241
Other+$81
Other sports+$60
Economy+$58
Mentions-$31
Weather+$21
Finance+$15
Biggest hit
+$2.7K
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
Toughest beat
-$833
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?$1864m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$10931m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$6931m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$9539m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$7939m ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$68355m ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$23758m ago
  • Bought No · Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$7942h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$5510h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$2314h ago
  • Bought No · Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$8614h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$3215h ago