 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $48K | 52¢ | 99¢ | +$43K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $65K | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$1.4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $16K | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$599 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $2.5K | 76¢ | 96¢ | +$667 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $511 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$58 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2.8K | 36¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2.4K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $766 | 8.9¢ | 2.3¢ | -$572 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $135 | 45¢ | 63¢ | +$53 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $330 | 17¢ | 9.5¢ | -$146 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $536 | 23¢ | 7.5¢ | -$364 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $676 | 17¢ | 3.4¢ | -$540 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 85¢ | +$74 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $39 | 31¢ | 37¢ | +$7 |
 Will Solana reach $150 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $140 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Politics | YesResolved | $585 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$585 |
 Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1.4K | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $23 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $2.2K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $1.4K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | NoResolved | $11 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than 1.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| ETH flipped in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $71 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $500 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$500 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $3.2K | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.2K |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Politics | YesResolved | $83 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
 Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Semiconductor" or "Chip" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Mentions | YesResolved | $41 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $79 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will Mahmoud Reza Banki be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Crypto | YesResolved | $74 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?Crypto | YesResolved | $70 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $11 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics | YesResolved | $435 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$435 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $112 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
 Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $120 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Crypto | YesResolved | $951 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$951 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $115 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $163 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $155 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $250 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$250 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?Economy | YesResolved | $575 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$575 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $291 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$291 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $251 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$251 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?Economy | NoResolved | $83 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
 Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Crypto | NoResolved | $22 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1.3K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics | NoResolved | $335 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$335 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $441 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$441 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $662 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$662 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | YesResolved | $246 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$246 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $30 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?Crypto | NoResolved | $38 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?Economy | YesResolved | $812 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$812 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $197 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$197 |
 Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $3.7K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.7K |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?Culture | YesResolved | $19 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will the US loose jobs in September?Economy | YesResolved | $179 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$179 |
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $95 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
| Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Politics | NoResolved | $522 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$522 |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?Politics | NoResolved | $286 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$286 |
 Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?Culture | YesResolved | $18 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $33 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $142 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
 Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Crypto | NoResolved | $75 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $12 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $21 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?Crypto | YesResolved | $76 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?Economy | YesResolved | $78 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Weather | YesResolved | $855 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$855 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $163 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1.5K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | NoResolved | $1.8K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |