 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $2.1K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$33 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $716 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$184 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $586 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $542 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Tech | No | $436 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$21 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $245 | 31¢ | 54¢ | +$189 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $401 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 GTA VI released by September 30?Culture | No | $400 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $326 | 81¢ | 94¢ | +$48 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $350 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$8 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $285 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$13 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $270 | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$24 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $261 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$23 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $234 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$47 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $333 | 58¢ | 47¢ | -$62 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Politics | Yes | $252 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$11 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $172 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$16 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $157 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$28 |
 Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?Tech | No | $179 | 92¢ | 90¢ | -$4 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Tech | No | $126 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$14 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Other sports | Yes | $241 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$119 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $112 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$6 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Politics | Yes | $163 | 81¢ | 54¢ | -$55 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $101 | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$11 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Weather | Yes | $86 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $92 | 1.8¢ | 1.6¢ | -$11 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech | No | $37 | 33¢ | 63¢ | +$34 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $55 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$13 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $44 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$19 |
 Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Politics | Yes | $45 | 47¢ | 67¢ | +$19 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $70 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 82¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Politics | Yes | $73 | 7.3¢ | 5.5¢ | -$18 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Tech | Yes | $44 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $50 | 5.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
 Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Culture | Yes | $39 | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?Culture | Yes | $82 | 19¢ | 8.0¢ | -$48 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 71¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $29 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.6¢ | 1.3¢ | +$13 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $98 | 20¢ | 5.1¢ | -$72 |
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Tech | Yes | $36 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$12 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $36 | 12¢ | 7.5¢ | -$13 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 5.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $67 | 12¢ | 3.5¢ | -$47 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $58 | 29¢ | 9.5¢ | -$39 |
 Will Shrek 5 be delayed?Other | No | $15 | 72¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $35 | 3.7¢ | 1.9¢ | -$17 |
 Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?Politics | Yes | $18 | 69¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
| Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $22 | 16¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $3 | 1.1¢ | 4.7¢ | +$11 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 8.5¢ | 3.3¢ | -$19 |
 Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 6.7¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
 Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 14¢ | 1.6¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a cactus?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $13 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Spread: England (-2.5)World Cup | EnglandResolved | $3 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $77 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | GermanyResolved | $25 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Other sports | YesResolved | $69 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $189 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
 Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 28?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 10 and 29 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Culture | NoResolved | $24 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $60 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?Culture | KaiResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Indiana lions in custody by August 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | BrazilResolved | $49 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $24 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $79 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos TsitsipasTennis | Stefanos TsitsipasResolved | $19 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?Politics | NoResolved | $32 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?Culture | NoResolved | $141 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$141 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | JapanResolved | $6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $57 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager?Culture | YesResolved | $39 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?Weather | YesResolved | $24 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?Finance | NoResolved | $22 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$1672h ago