| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $72 | 68¢ | 95¢ | +$28 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $102 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Politics | No | $74 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 71¢ | 66¢ | -$6 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $36 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | No | $37 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | No | $28 | 68¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $10 | 64¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 51¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 76¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 54¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 79¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $10 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $10 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $11 | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 68¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $10 | 71¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 73¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 89¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $10 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $10 | 66¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 69¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 83¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 75¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 85¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Crypto | No | $9 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 63¢ | 52¢ | -$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Crypto | No | $5 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $5 | 56¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 71¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 79¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 68¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
Sold Yes · Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$42d ago