IBSN

Predicting since Sep 202535 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$78	39¢	37¢	-$5
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$40	91¢	91¢	+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	35¢	8.5¢	-$15
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$228	14¢	0.1¢	-$226
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$86	21¢	0.0¢	-$86
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	38¢	0.0¢	-$20
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	17¢	0.0¢	-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$20	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$40	15¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
Maduro out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$60	22¢	0.0¢	-$60
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$56	33¢	0.0¢	-$56
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$21	23¢	0.0¢	-$21
FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - WinnerSoccer (other)	FlamengoResolved	$10	37¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$40	49¢	0.0¢	-$40
Will Flamengo win in regular time against PSG?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$18	18¢	0.0¢	-$18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$47	13¢	0.0¢	-$47
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	15¢	0.0¢	-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$44

Soccer (other)-$28

Economy+$4

Biggest hit

+$204

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$2

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7413d ago
Bought No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7713d ago
Bought No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$113d ago
Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5314d ago
Cashed out Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$8914d ago