← Whale Watch

LieAndSmile

Predicting since Nov 20241,227 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on eSports markets since Nov 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5615¢8.5¢-$23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2030¢43¢+$8
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$201.3¢0.9¢-$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$106.4¢8.5¢+$3
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$101.3¢1.1¢-$1
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$141.1¢0.7¢-$6
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureYes$52.1¢1.9¢-$0
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5MLBUnderResolved$2549¢0.0¢-$25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSportsBilibili GamingResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$10055¢0.0¢-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevTennisAlexander ZverevResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Collignon vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 23.5TennisUnderResolved$3754¢0.0¢-$37
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana SelekhmetevaTennisOksana SelekhmetevaResolved$1530¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Other sportsLos Angeles SparksResolved$3066¢0.0¢-$30
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$10937¢0.0¢-$109
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$835¢0.0¢-$8
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5MLBUnderResolved$1548¢0.0¢-$15
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?MLSYesResolved$5051¢0.0¢-$50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.6¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-13.5)Other sportsAtlanta DreamResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$3046¢0.0¢-$30
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifiereSportsHeroicResolved$1559¢0.0¢-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami MarlinsMLBMiami MarlinsResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
France vs. England: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$1233¢0.0¢-$12
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir KecmanovicTennisKilian FeldbauschResolved$1429¢0.0¢-$14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnereSportsAnyones LegendResolved$1071¢0.0¢-$10
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$3258¢0.0¢-$32
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$2060¢0.0¢-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$028¢0.0¢-$0
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5MLBUnderResolved$2548¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$556¢0.0¢-$5
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsJD GamingResolved$542¢0.0¢-$5
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State ValkyriesOther sportsGolden State ValkyriesResolved$11076¢0.0¢-$110
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DeSportsJD GamingResolved$1418¢0.0¢-$14
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5MLBUnderResolved$3954¢0.0¢-$39
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1057¢0.0¢-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnereSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

eSports-$3.1K
Politics-$2.3K
NBA-$1.1K
World Cup-$336
Other sports-$150
College Hoops+$143
MLB-$114
Tennis-$106
Soccer (other)+$63
Premier League-$57
Culture-$50
MLS-$50
Biggest hit
+$871
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-In
Toughest beat
-$2.2K
US government shutdown Saturday?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$31d ago
  • Bought Heroic · Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$152d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$02d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$52d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$02d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$92d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$52d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?$514d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$74d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$54d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$54d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$54d ago