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TulipoII

Predicting since Nov 2025183 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $27K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $11K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$8.5K on Maduro out by March 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$5.0K82¢93¢+$627
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.6K92¢99¢+$367
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.0K80¢95¢+$754
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$3.7K43¢31¢-$1.1K
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$3.1K40¢26¢-$1.1K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.4K36¢21¢-$1.0K
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$37813¢7.3¢-$167
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K14¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$3124.2¢0.0¢-$312
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$1913.9¢0.0¢-$191
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2004.0¢0.0¢-$200
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.7K70¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?PoliticsYesResolved$8808.0¢0.0¢-$880
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$36214¢0.0¢-$362
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$1032.4¢0.0¢-$103
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$191.9¢0.0¢-$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1791.7¢0.0¢-$179
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1381.6¢0.0¢-$138
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$2703.0¢0.0¢-$270
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.0K36¢0.0¢-$2.0K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4.2K59¢0.0¢-$4.2K
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$824.0¢0.0¢-$82
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?PoliticsYesResolved$5164.8¢0.0¢-$516
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1801.8¢0.0¢-$180
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6.3K90¢0.0¢-$6.3K
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4.4K88¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?PoliticsNoResolved$2.7K37¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$1404.0¢0.0¢-$140
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$3006.0¢0.0¢-$300
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1341.2¢0.0¢-$134
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3.1K50¢0.0¢-$3.1K
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1363.8¢0.0¢-$136
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$58121¢0.0¢-$581

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$27K
Tech-$327
Crypto+$139
Biggest hit
+$8.5K
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$10K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1811h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$2811h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$11411h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1911h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$11611h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$561d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$7001d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$2.9K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$1.8K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$881d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$81d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$1.3K1d ago