← Whale Watch

amazingfrog

Predicting since Jul 2025458 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$15177¢85¢+$14
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$5375¢99¢+$17
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$5793¢96¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5493¢95¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6975¢56¢-$17
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$1015¢67¢+$32
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3484¢94¢+$4
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3790¢94¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3392¢96¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3494¢95¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3393¢94¢+$0
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$2673¢94¢+$7
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3292¢94¢+$1
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$2366¢93¢+$9
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3393¢90¢-$1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2342¢57¢+$8
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$13.1¢85¢+$29
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2792¢97¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2686¢93¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3676¢56¢-$9
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$2056¢66¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2039¢43¢+$2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2186¢86¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1739¢43¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1894¢96¢+$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$1663¢70¢+$2
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1190¢100¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$926¢28¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1729¢16¢-$8
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$55.0¢8.5¢+$4
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$894¢95¢+$0
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$412¢25¢+$4
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$754¢64¢+$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$517¢24¢+$2
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3391¢18¢-$26
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?PoliticsYes$513¢10¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$346¢34¢-$1
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$414¢7.5¢-$2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$37.4¢5.5¢-$1
Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$1028¢4.6¢-$9
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$4323¢0.0¢-$43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$1747¢0.0¢-$17
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$720¢0.0¢-$7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$1647¢0.0¢-$16
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBAYesResolved$2073¢0.0¢-$20
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?PoliticsYesResolved$2539¢0.0¢-$25
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$926¢0.0¢-$9
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division?NHLYesResolved$25.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$1340¢0.0¢-$13
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?NHLYesResolved$334¢0.0¢-$3
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$26.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$26.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?NHLYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Metropolitan Division?NHLYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$14.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$1439¢0.0¢-$14

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$592
Mentions+$349
Culture+$140
Tech-$89
UFC / MMA-$51
Economy+$43
College Football+$41
NHL+$34
NBA+$31
Weather+$24
World Cup-$24
Crypto+$21
Biggest hit
+$167
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
Toughest beat
-$87
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Hungary PM events on November 7?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$06d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$46d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will FC Koln be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$56d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$66d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?$216d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$226d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?$316d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ivica Zubac lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$326d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$326d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$326d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$356d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$366d ago