← Whale Watch

Jerzy

Predicting since Jul 2024340 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $53K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $29K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$19K on Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$16K92¢95¢+$506
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$13K96¢99¢+$450
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$7.0K93¢96¢+$230
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5.8K89¢92¢+$173
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$5.4K91¢92¢+$50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$59340¢80¢+$587
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$79079¢89¢+$95
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.4K35¢10¢-$1.7K
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$59974¢80¢+$46
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsYes$1.3K27¢11¢-$774
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$31079¢88¢+$33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11828¢80¢+$219
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?PoliticsNo$18985¢97¢+$27
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsYes$9018¢11¢-$38
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$34519¢0.0¢-$345
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K36¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? PoliticsNoResolved$8020¢0.0¢-$80
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?PoliticsYesResolved$1831.0¢0.0¢-$183
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPoliticsYesResolved$71747¢0.0¢-$717
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$639.2¢0.0¢-$63
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$014¢0.0¢-$0
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7810.0¢0.0¢-$78
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$411.7¢0.0¢-$41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$144¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.1K62¢0.0¢-$5.1K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$1.8K12¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$90318¢0.0¢-$903
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?PoliticsNoResolved$3319¢0.0¢-$33
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$815.1¢0.0¢-$81
TikTok sale announced by October 31?TechYesResolved$164.1¢0.0¢-$16
TikTok sale announced in 2025?TechNoResolved$336.5¢0.0¢-$33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$360.9¢0.0¢-$36
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?PoliticsNoResolved$842.0¢0.0¢-$84
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6712¢0.0¢-$67
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$354.7¢0.0¢-$35
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$21021¢0.0¢-$210
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K38¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$2087.2¢0.0¢-$208
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7.2K46¢0.0¢-$7.2K
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?PoliticsYesResolved$10323¢0.0¢-$103
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?EconomyYesResolved$221.8¢0.0¢-$22
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$56230¢0.0¢-$562
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?PoliticsNoResolved$387.5¢0.0¢-$38
Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?PoliticsYesResolved$1481.1¢0.0¢-$148
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$62033¢0.0¢-$620
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1068¢0.0¢-$10
TikTok sale announced by March 31?TechNoResolved$1005.7¢0.0¢-$100
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K60¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?PoliticsNoResolved$1043¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?PoliticsNoResolved$7920¢0.0¢-$79
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$242¢0.0¢-$2
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?PoliticsYesResolved$370.7¢0.0¢-$37
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$170.7¢0.0¢-$17
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$47424¢0.0¢-$474
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?PoliticsYesResolved$648.2¢0.0¢-$64
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?PoliticsNoResolved$865.4¢0.0¢-$86
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1843¢0.0¢-$18
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4.8K37¢0.0¢-$4.8K
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?PoliticsYesResolved$1500.2¢0.0¢-$150
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsYesResolved$33942¢0.0¢-$339
Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?PoliticsNoResolved$45426¢0.0¢-$454
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1395.2¢0.0¢-$139
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?PoliticsNoResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?PoliticsYesResolved$2052.5¢0.0¢-$205
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 12?FinanceUpResolved$2446¢0.0¢-$24
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$77713¢0.0¢-$777
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? PoliticsNoResolved$67452¢0.0¢-$674
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$1319¢0.0¢-$13
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?PoliticsYesResolved$2591.2¢0.0¢-$259
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?PoliticsNoResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$36026¢0.0¢-$360
Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?PoliticsNoResolved$13511¢0.0¢-$135
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K17¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.3K24¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$201.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$66.2¢0.0¢-$6
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.9K35¢0.0¢-$1.9K
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$64049¢0.0¢-$640
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$676.1¢0.0¢-$67
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$26428¢0.0¢-$264
China-EU trade deal before June?PoliticsYesResolved$677.1¢0.0¢-$67
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?PoliticsYesResolved$37230¢0.0¢-$372
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$13511¢0.0¢-$135
Trump transgender sports ban?PoliticsNoResolved$2718¢0.0¢-$27
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10635¢0.0¢-$106
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?PoliticsNoResolved$2046¢0.0¢-$20
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$1434.8¢0.0¢-$143
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?PoliticsNoResolved$6362¢0.0¢-$63
India military action against Pakistan before June?PoliticsNoResolved$52052¢0.0¢-$520
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsNoResolved$80134¢0.0¢-$801
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$2.2K11¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?EconomyYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?PoliticsNoResolved$25512¢0.0¢-$255

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$53K
Crypto+$3.5K
Tech+$2.9K
Economy+$1.2K
Culture+$681
Other sports+$58
Finance-$27
Biggest hit
+$19K
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Toughest beat
-$14K
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Russia invade another country in 2026?$1.8K5d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$17d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$07d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$17d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$07d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$168d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$49d ago
  • Bought No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$4409d ago
  • Bought No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$4409d ago
  • Bought No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$4459d ago