 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $7.0K | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$399 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $5.8K | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$238 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $5.4K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$170 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $593 | 40¢ | 85¢ | +$661 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $790 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$155 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $599 | 74¢ | 91¢ | +$130 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 19¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.0K |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 29¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2.0K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $118 | 28¢ | 85¢ | +$239 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $310 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$16 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $90 | 18¢ | 7.5¢ | -$53 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $345 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$345 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.1K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?Politics | YesResolved | $183 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$183 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiPolitics | YesResolved | $717 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$717 |
 EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $78 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5.1K | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.1K |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1.8K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $903 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$903 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Politics | NoResolved | $33 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $81 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $16 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $33 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Politics | NoResolved | $84 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $67 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Politics | NoResolved | $208 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$208 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7.2K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.2K |
 Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?Politics | YesResolved | $103 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?Economy | YesResolved | $22 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $562 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$562 |
 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?Politics | NoResolved | $38 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Politics | YesResolved | $148 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Politics | NoResolved | $620 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$620 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| TikTok sale announced by March 31?Tech | NoResolved | $100 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?Economy | NoResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Politics | NoResolved | $79 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $2 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $474 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$474 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?Politics | YesResolved | $64 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Politics | NoResolved | $86 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4.8K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.8K |
 Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Politics | YesResolved | $339 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$339 |
 Will Trump declare a national emergency in his first 100 days?Politics | NoResolved | $454 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$454 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $139 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$139 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?Politics | YesResolved | $205 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
 Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 12?Finance | UpResolved | $24 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $777 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$777 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? Politics | NoResolved | $674 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$674 |
 Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Economy | NoResolved | $13 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Politics | YesResolved | $259 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$259 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Politics | YesResolved | $360 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$360 |
 Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?Politics | NoResolved | $135 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1.2K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1.3K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1.9K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $640 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$640 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $67 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $264 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$264 |
 China-EU trade deal before June?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?Politics | YesResolved | $372 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$372 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $135 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
 Trump transgender sports ban?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $143 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$143 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Politics | NoResolved | $63 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
 India military action against Pakistan before June?Politics | NoResolved | $520 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$520 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics | NoResolved | $801 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$801 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $2.2K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?Politics | NoResolved | $255 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$255 |
Cashed out No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$17K10d ago