| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8.1K | 51¢ | 74¢ | +$3.7K |
 Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $2.3K | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$184 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5.3K | 29¢ | 13¢ | -$3.0K |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.5K | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$21 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $979 | 13¢ | 17¢ | +$336 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $901 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$16 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $828 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$23 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $765 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$30 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $774 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$158 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $772 | 55¢ | 25¢ | -$420 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 9.2¢ | 88¢ | +$315 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $331 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $340 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$21 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $484 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$165 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $603 | 52¢ | 27¢ | -$298 |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?Politics | No | $261 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$30 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $288 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $184 | 40¢ | 62¢ | +$101 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $210 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$32 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $422 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$181 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $241 | 48¢ | 46¢ | -$13 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $291 | 29¢ | 22¢ | -$72 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $171 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$29 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $191 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $152 | 49¢ | 63¢ | +$42 |
 US congress stock trading ban before 2027?Politics | Yes | $462 | 24¢ | 10¢ | -$270 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $169 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$22 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | Yes | $248 | 50¢ | 35¢ | -$73 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $122 | 60¢ | 75¢ | +$30 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $140 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$6 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $102 | 26¢ | 31¢ | +$23 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $116 | 58¢ | 62¢ | +$8 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $98 | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$16 |
 Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Politics | Yes | $158 | 75¢ | 54¢ | -$45 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $52 | 17¢ | 35¢ | +$54 |
| Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 US x China tariff agreement by July 31?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $79 | 79¢ | 91¢ | +$12 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 55¢ | 91¢ | +$35 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 5.2¢ | 8.5¢ | +$33 |
 Will Keir Starmer be in the Burnham cabinet?Politics | No | $75 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $128 | 36¢ | 21¢ | -$56 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $35 | 17¢ | 34¢ | +$36 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | Yes | $61 | 6.8¢ | 6.8¢ | -$0 |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Politics | No | $54 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $111 | 41¢ | 21¢ | -$55 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $182 | 66¢ | 20¢ | -$127 |
 French election called by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $82 | 24¢ | 16¢ | -$29 |
 Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $46 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | Yes | $54 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 45¢ | 0.7¢ | -$3.1K |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$49 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $57 | 51¢ | 38¢ | -$15 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $80 | 40¢ | 21¢ | -$39 |
 SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 45¢ | 75¢ | +$16 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $99 | 16¢ | 6.5¢ | -$59 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $40 | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $79 | 57¢ | 26¢ | -$44 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 28¢ | 17¢ | -$23 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $28 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$5 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 47¢ | 25¢ | -$23 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $65 | 4.4¢ | 1.7¢ | -$41 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $63 | 2.2¢ | 0.8¢ | -$40 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$13 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | Yes | $198 | 5.4¢ | 0.5¢ | -$178 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | Yes | $13 | 40¢ | 56¢ | +$5 |
| Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 11¢ | -$14 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | Yes | $53 | 53¢ | 10¢ | -$43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Politics | Yes | $9 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | No | $65 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$59 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | Yes | $210 | 13¢ | 0.3¢ | -$206 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | Yes | $112 | 28¢ | 1.1¢ | -$108 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 4.4¢ | 1.4¢ | -$9 |
 Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 17¢ | 1.9¢ | -$23 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $96 | 64¢ | 1.3¢ | -$94 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $72 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $110 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $97 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $69 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?Finance | UpResolved | $18 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $510 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$510 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Politics | YesResolved | $152 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?Crypto | YesResolved | $44 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $59 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $54 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of February 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $13 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech | NoResolved | $16 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |