 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $7.6K | 48¢ | 46¢ | -$289 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19K | 60¢ | 19¢ | -$13K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$125 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.4K | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$131 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 38¢ | 33¢ | -$332 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.2K | 65¢ | 37¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 91¢ | 75¢ | -$237 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $930 | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$100 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $602 | 74¢ | 89¢ | +$118 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $642 | 55¢ | 52¢ | -$35 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.7K | 49¢ | 17¢ | -$1.1K |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $494 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$58 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $331 | 66¢ | 71¢ | +$22 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $484 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$187 |
 Government shutdown by October 1?Politics | No | $225 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$54 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $210 | 70¢ | 85¢ | +$44 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $422 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$181 |
 Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $444 | 19¢ | 9.5¢ | -$227 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $195 | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$5 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $169 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$25 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | Yes | $242 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$60 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | No | $122 | 60¢ | 88¢ | +$56 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $772 | 55¢ | 13¢ | -$596 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $339 | 40¢ | 21¢ | -$164 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $152 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$15 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $728 | 29¢ | 6.5¢ | -$565 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $150 | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$5 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $291 | 29¢ | 14¢ | -$143 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $158 | 40¢ | 37¢ | -$11 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $603 | 52¢ | 13¢ | -$459 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 5.2¢ | 13¢ | +$81 |
 Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $111 | 68¢ | 78¢ | +$16 |
 US congress stock trading ban before 2027?Politics | Yes | $462 | 24¢ | 6.5¢ | -$337 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Politics | Yes | $204 | 13¢ | 7.6¢ | -$81 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $98 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$22 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 28¢ | 2.3¢ | -$1.2K |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $111 | 41¢ | 39¢ | -$8 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $55 | 55¢ | 99¢ | +$44 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $84 | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $79 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$15 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $84 | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$11 |
 Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Politics | Yes | $75 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$2 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $128 | 36¢ | 21¢ | -$56 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | Yes | $248 | 50¢ | 14¢ | -$178 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Economy | No | $81 | 81¢ | 70¢ | -$12 |
| Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?Economy | No | $51 | 63¢ | 81¢ | +$14 |
 Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics | No | $65 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$9 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Politics | Yes | $66 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$14 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 49¢ | 43¢ | -$8 |
 SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 45¢ | 95¢ | +$27 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | Yes | $54 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $150 | 56¢ | 18¢ | -$101 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | Yes | $45 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$3 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $43 | 21¢ | 24¢ | +$4 |
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Politics | Yes | $60 | 20¢ | 15¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Politics | Yes | $107 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$63 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $80 | 40¢ | 22¢ | -$37 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$49 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $79 | 57¢ | 30¢ | -$38 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $82 | 24¢ | 12¢ | -$41 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $22 | 11¢ | 19¢ | +$16 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Politics | Yes | $52 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$14 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $99 | 16¢ | 5.5¢ | -$65 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | Yes | $62 | 31¢ | 16¢ | -$30 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | -$37 |
 Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $28 | 85¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $65 | 4.4¢ | 1.6¢ | -$42 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $57 | 51¢ | 17¢ | -$38 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | Yes | $61 | 6.8¢ | 1.9¢ | -$43 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 34¢ | 18¢ | -$16 |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?Politics | Yes | $26 | 26¢ | 16¢ | -$11 |
 Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $154 | 33¢ | 2.9¢ | -$140 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 8.0¢ | -$5 |
 Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 60¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Politics | Yes | $9 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | Yes | $53 | 53¢ | 5.0¢ | -$48 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 4.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 4.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 47¢ | 2.5¢ | -$45 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $72 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $385 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$385 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3.1K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
 Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $110 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $97 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7?Crypto | NoResolved | $496 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$496 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $77 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | YesResolved | $198 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $9.1K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.1K |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 1?Finance | UpResolved | $18 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $510 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$510 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Politics | YesResolved | $152 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
| Will FISA Section 702 be reauthorized by July 31?Other | YesResolved | $23 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?Crypto | YesResolved | $44 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Cashed out No · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?$03h ago