← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jun 20254,572 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $23K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $21K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$7.2K on Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$21K43¢80¢+$18K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$14K72¢92¢+$3.9K
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$7.6K80¢89¢+$844
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$5.0K60¢66¢+$455
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?TechYesResolved$1395.1¢100¢+$2.6K
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K55¢100¢+$937
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2.9K73¢49¢-$980
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoNo$3.2K64¢34¢-$1.5K
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$3.6K52¢24¢-$2.0K
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?PoliticsNo$1.3K80¢99¢+$313
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2.7K39¢20¢-$1.3K
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$1.0K80¢100¢+$254
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.5K42¢20¢-$1.3K
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1.2K77¢54¢-$352
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$87655¢46¢-$151
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$32817¢34¢+$337
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢8.8¢+$503
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$6416¢98¢+$327
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsYes$33066¢34¢-$158
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$11792¢99¢+$8
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5344¢100¢+$67
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?EconomyNoResolved$9396¢100¢+$4
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$8690¢100¢+$9
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢1.1¢+$26
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherNo$5472¢91¢+$14
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢1.1¢+$20
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$656.0¢4.0¢-$22
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.7¢-$5
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$542.7¢1.9¢-$15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3112¢14¢+$6
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$3596¢96¢+$0
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?CultureNo$3090¢94¢+$1
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10?PoliticsNo$3296¢94¢-$1
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.4¢-$17
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsYes$6958¢22¢-$44
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$542.7¢1.3¢-$29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1945¢57¢+$5
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$542.7¢1.1¢-$31
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.4¢-$24
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$542.7¢0.9¢-$35
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.3¢-$30
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$1396¢100¢+$1
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$542.7¢0.7¢-$41
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1296¢99¢+$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$186.0¢3.7¢-$7
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$72.7¢3.8¢+$3
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$450.7¢0.1¢-$36
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$893¢98¢+$0
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$893¢97¢+$0
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$262.7¢0.9¢-$18
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$182.5¢0.9¢-$12
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$236¢100¢+$4
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$434¢45¢+$1
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$480¢100¢+$1
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?PoliticsYes$7437¢1.4¢-$72
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$01.7¢8.6¢+$2
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?PoliticsYes$6416¢0.5¢-$62
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?CryptoNo$263¢60¢-$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?PoliticsYes$6416¢0.4¢-$63
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?PoliticsYes$6416¢0.4¢-$63
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$182¢96¢+$0
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?PoliticsYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$24350¢0.0¢-$243
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?TechYesResolved$1395.1¢0.0¢-$139
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?TechNoResolved$76076¢0.0¢-$760
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?TechYesResolved$1395.1¢0.0¢-$139
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?TechYesResolved$1395.1¢0.0¢-$139
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$2665¢0.0¢-$26
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?PoliticsYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?TechYesResolved$1395.1¢0.0¢-$139

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$23K
Tech+$7.8K
Crypto-$5.7K
Culture+$3.6K
Formula 1-$1.8K
Mentions-$662
eSports+$569
Economy+$461
Other-$239
MLB-$222
Other sports+$188
NFL-$126
Biggest hit
+$7.2K
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?
Toughest beat
-$3.5K
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?