← Whale Watch

ammarb

Predicting since Jun 202664 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $702 riding on AI bubble burst by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$70282¢84¢+$20
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$25340¢70¢+$188
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?TechYes$24242¢62¢+$111
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?CryptoNo$27792¢98¢+$17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$28896¢97¢+$4
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$12032¢74¢+$157
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$25864¢57¢-$28
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$21693¢94¢+$1
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$25780¢58¢-$71
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18291¢93¢+$3
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechAnthropic$12287¢89¢+$3
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$12040¢41¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$10913¢14¢+$10
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$6015¢28¢+$53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$9934¢37¢+$6
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$6983¢90¢+$5
Databricks IPO before 2027?TechYes$14721¢9.0¢-$84
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$792.2¢1.5¢-$24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$3714¢20¢+$14
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?TechNo$4185¢98¢+$6
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?TechYes$4158¢63¢+$3
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?TechNo$2041¢87¢+$23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$4812¢9.5¢-$10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$404.5¢3.8¢-$7
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?TechYes$2451¢62¢+$5
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$2814¢14¢+$1
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$3015¢13¢-$5
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?TechOpenAI$3838¢22¢-$16
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?TechYes$643.1¢1.0¢-$44
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? PoliticsNo$1890¢98¢+$2
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechNo$3916¢8.0¢-$19
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$291.0¢0.7¢-$10
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?TechNo$997¢99¢+$0
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?TechYes$735¢33¢-$0
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?TechNo$134¢66¢+$1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?TechYesResolved$34.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$4518¢0.0¢-$45
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?TechYesResolved$15329¢0.0¢-$153
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?TechYesResolved$745.3¢0.0¢-$74
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?TechYesResolved$804.1¢0.0¢-$80
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?TechYesResolved$112.8¢0.0¢-$11
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$658.1¢0.0¢-$65
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?FinanceOpenAIResolved$135.2¢0.0¢-$13
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$126.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?TechYesResolved$1256.4¢0.0¢-$125
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?PoliticsNoResolved$25930¢0.0¢-$259
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?TechNoResolved$337¢0.0¢-$3
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?TechNoResolved$178.5¢0.0¢-$17
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?TechYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$61.5¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$596
Crypto+$17
Finance-$13
Politics-$7
Economy-$5
Culture-$2
Biggest hit
+$269
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$502
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$1001d ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?$1825d ago
  • Bought Yes · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$1207d ago
  • Bought Yes · SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?$1610d ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$6811d ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$3211d ago
  • MERGE Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$30013d ago
  • MERGE SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?$1113d ago
  • Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$4414d ago
  • Bought No · SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?$414d ago