← Whale Watch

TheDchicken

Predicting since Jan 2025315 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1586¢95¢+$2
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$1486¢77¢-$1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$1074¢93¢+$2
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$1284¢87¢+$0
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherNo$1077¢91¢+$2
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1092¢96¢+$0
EU dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$1095¢98¢+$0
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$779¢73¢-$1
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$688¢92¢+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$494¢95¢+$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$355¢43¢-$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$288¢99¢+$0
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?WeatherNo$291¢95¢+$0
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$297¢100¢+$0
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$287¢89¢+$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$289¢88¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$152¢99¢+$1
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$230¢27¢-$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$220¢17¢-$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$111¢27¢+$1
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$357¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?WeatherNoResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?CultureYesResolved$173¢0.0¢-$1
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherNoResolved$1539¢0.0¢-$15
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$15.2¢0.0¢-$1
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$39
Weather+$28
Culture+$11
World Cup-$4
Olympics-$3
Soccer (other)-$2
Tech-$1
Mentions+$1
Economy+$0
Biggest hit
+$66
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?
Toughest beat
-$13
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$36d ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$519d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$219d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$228d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$529d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$11mo ago
  • Bought No · Netanyahu out by July 31?$21mo ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$51mo ago
  • Bought No · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$21mo ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$11mo ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$11mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$01mo ago