Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $742 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$741 |
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $585 | 58¢ | 78¢ | +$190 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $459 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$49 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $391 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$19 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $336 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$62 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $385 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $368 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $352 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$22 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $351 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$19 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $297 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$69 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $360 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $307 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$59 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $330 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$20 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $329 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $307 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$25 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $307 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$11 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $268 | 67¢ | 73¢ | +$22 |
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Tech | No | $235 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$50 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $247 | 62¢ | 71¢ | +$35 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $245 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$35 |
Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | No | $273 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $263 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$15 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $257 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$19 |
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $276 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$2 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $294 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$23 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $179 | 60¢ | 90¢ | +$90 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $211 | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$55 |
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $254 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $186 | 62¢ | 87¢ | +$74 |
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $194 | 60¢ | 80¢ | +$65 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $141 | 47¢ | 86¢ | +$115 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $279 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$23 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $241 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$10 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $114 | 38¢ | 83¢ | +$134 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $212 | 70¢ | 82¢ | +$35 |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $236 | 59¢ | 61¢ | +$6 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $251 | 84¢ | 81¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $240 | 60¢ | 60¢ | -$2 |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $178 | 70¢ | 90¢ | +$50 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $163 | 54¢ | 74¢ | +$58 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $194 | 65¢ | 71¢ | +$18 |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $160 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$38 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $176 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $174 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $166 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$19 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $247 | 61¢ | 45¢ | -$67 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $132 | 44¢ | 57¢ | +$41 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $171 | 43¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $126 | 42¢ | 56¢ | +$43 |
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | No | $134 | 67¢ | 81¢ | +$28 |
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Politics | No | $117 | 73¢ | 96¢ | +$36 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $146 | 37¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $138 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Politics | Yes | $100 | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$32 |
Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $52 | 58¢ | 95¢ | +$34 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $129 | 26¢ | 16¢ | -$50 |
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | Yes | $208 | 69¢ | 26¢ | -$131 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $71 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $128 | 43¢ | 23¢ | -$59 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $160 | 53¢ | 23¢ | -$91 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $42 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$15 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $260 | 65¢ | 14¢ | -$206 |
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$11 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $35 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$5 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $40 | 8.0¢ | 5.1¢ | -$14 |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 9.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$5 |
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 16¢ | 88¢ | +$17 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 2.7¢ | 3.5¢ | +$4 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 2.4¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.5¢ | 0.8¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 5.5¢ | 3.5¢ | -$6 |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ | 1.8¢ | +$3 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Politics | Yes | $129 | 43¢ | 0.5¢ | -$128 |