← Whale Watch

ansatz

Predicting since Jan 2026377 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.4K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $3.5K across 7 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1.8K50¢100¢+$1.7K
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$58558¢52¢-$65
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$48597¢99¢+$11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$45975¢80¢+$25
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$44689¢96¢+$32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$36090¢92¢+$6
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$35288¢88¢-$2
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$33083¢87¢+$16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30777¢82¢+$20
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$21271¢99¢+$84
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$28996¢98¢+$4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$26388¢92¢+$12
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$25780¢85¢+$14
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$26988¢88¢+$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$21470¢88¢+$52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$25184¢88¢+$13
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$24582¢88¢+$17
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23694¢100¢+$14
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25484¢83¢-$5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$24782¢79¢-$10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$21270¢77¢+$18
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$18080¢99¢+$44
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$22580¢80¢-$3
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?PoliticsNo$19460¢69¢+$28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$16555¢74¢+$56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$21169¢72¢+$8
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$23378¢73¢-$15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$16749¢63¢+$45
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$21271¢69¢-$5
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17960¢68¢+$24
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$14147¢68¢+$61
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?TechNo$16971¢84¢+$31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$19465¢67¢+$6
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$17759¢67¢+$23
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsYes$20471¢69¢-$6
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17487¢92¢+$9
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17688¢91¢+$5
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$14872¢87¢+$30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16683¢88¢+$9
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$16354¢56¢+$6
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other)No$15578¢84¢+$12
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsNo$13467¢80¢+$26
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$14276¢81¢+$9
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$14637¢38¢+$4
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$13244¢45¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$12642¢44¢+$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$11438¢42¢+$12
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$12943¢42¢-$5
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?PoliticsNo$11773¢78¢+$7
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$12489¢89¢-$0
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10570¢81¢+$16
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$13467¢55¢-$24
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?PoliticsYes$10050¢55¢+$9
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureNo$8665¢75¢+$13
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$12843¢32¢-$32
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$11739¢27¢-$36
Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?PoliticsNo$7676¢77¢+$1
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$5258¢81¢+$21
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$4214¢23¢+$25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$5956¢63¢+$7
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsYes$7124¢21¢-$9
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$2121¢56¢+$35
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsYes$279.0¢11¢+$5
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechNo$2932¢32¢+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3612¢9.0¢-$9
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$326.4¢3.9¢-$13
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.8K50¢0.4¢-$1.7K
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?PoliticsNo$1299¢97¢-$0
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$416¢48¢+$8
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1153¢44¢-$2
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$736¢42¢+$1
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$117.0¢3.7¢-$5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$62.9¢2.6¢-$1
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$52.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$31.6¢1.1¢-$1
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$20.6¢0.7¢+$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$20.8¢0.9¢+$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$20.8¢0.7¢-$0
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?TechYes$265¢39¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.4K
World Cup+$433
Crypto+$93
Tech+$69
Mentions-$50
Weather-$23
Culture+$14
Soccer (other)+$12
Finance+$6
Other sports+$5
Economy+$4
eSports+$3
Biggest hit
+$2.6K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$1.7K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Recent moves

  • MERGE Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3002h ago
  • MERGE Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4003h ago
  • SPLIT Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2003h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$115h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$015h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$016h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$01d ago