← Whale Watch

bertross

Predicting since Mar 2026240 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $877 across 2 NBA markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$45550¢100¢+$455
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21649¢88¢+$170
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsYes$17837¢25¢-$57
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$5050¢69¢+$19
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$4547¢61¢+$12
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3445¢69¢+$19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$3840¢38¢-$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$4550¢38¢-$11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2124¢30¢+$5
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsYes$2632¢21¢-$9
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2721¢12¢-$12
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsYes$2127¢19¢-$6
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$1350¢59¢+$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$2430¢17¢-$11
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1514¢12¢-$3
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$1448¢40¢-$3
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$1924¢14¢-$8
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$6040¢6.5¢-$50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$850¢66¢+$2
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$2432¢13¢-$15
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$1114¢13¢-$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$1250¢34¢-$4
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$850¢56¢+$1
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsNo$1217¢11¢-$4
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$1249¢32¢-$4
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?PoliticsYes$2128¢11¢-$13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$1030¢22¢-$3
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsNo$744¢45¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2325¢6.5¢-$17
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$550¢59¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$571¢81¢+$1
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$536¢34¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$519¢20¢+$0
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsYes$246¢89¢+$2
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$733¢21¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1015¢5.5¢-$6
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$350¢73¢+$1
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyYes$650¢27¢-$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$350¢57¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$812¢4.3¢-$5
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$68.9¢4.0¢-$3
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$240¢51¢+$1
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$350¢49¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$323¢16¢-$1
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsYes$225¢23¢-$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1418¢2.9¢-$11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$115¢42¢+$1
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$230¢23¢-$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$232¢33¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$350¢31¢-$1
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsYes$559¢16¢-$4
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$245¢24¢-$1
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?PoliticsYes$340¢20¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$226¢13¢-$1
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$113¢24¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?PoliticsYes$218¢8.2¢-$1
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$422¢5.5¢-$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16.2¢7.2¢+$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$116¢22¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?PoliticsYesResolved$02.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?CryptoYesResolved$805.6¢0.0¢-$80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2432¢0.0¢-$24
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$1042¢0.0¢-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5945¢0.0¢-$59
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?FinanceNoResolved$325¢0.0¢-$3
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?PoliticsYesResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4442¢0.0¢-$44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?PoliticsNoResolved$1627¢0.0¢-$16
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$34.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?CultureYesResolved$3350¢0.0¢-$33
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?PoliticsYesResolved$3850¢0.0¢-$38
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?MentionsYesResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$24.3¢0.0¢-$2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will Solana dip to $50 in April?CryptoYesResolved$477.0¢0.0¢-$47
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?CultureYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?PoliticsYesResolved$14.6¢0.0¢-$1
Megaquake by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?PoliticsYesResolved$2128¢0.0¢-$21
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$544¢0.0¢-$5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?PoliticsNoResolved$244¢0.0¢-$2
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$68.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?PoliticsNoResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Kash Patel out by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1518¢0.0¢-$15
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$838¢0.0¢-$8
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?CultureNoResolved$3350¢0.0¢-$33

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$855
Crypto-$215
Culture-$112
Mentions+$111
NBA+$35
Tech+$34
Premier League-$15
UFC / MMA+$12
Weather+$6
Other sports-$5
Finance-$4
Economy-$3
Biggest hit
+$113
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$291
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$86d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$56d ago
  • Bought No · Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$136d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$36d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$57d ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$137d ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$137d ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$57d ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$57d ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$57d ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$57d ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$87d ago