 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $216 | 49¢ | 95¢ | +$198 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $34 | 45¢ | 87¢ | +$31 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $178 | 37¢ | 13¢ | -$117 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 40¢ | 32¢ | -$8 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 14¢ | 79¢ | +$19 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $12 | 45¢ | 88¢ | +$11 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $13 | 42¢ | 73¢ | +$9 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $30 | 42¢ | 30¢ | -$9 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$5 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $31 | 41¢ | 22¢ | -$15 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 42¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 50¢ | 79¢ | +$6 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $45 | 50¢ | 17¢ | -$30 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 50¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $5 | 36¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 50¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 36¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 29¢ | 18¢ | -$8 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 66¢ | +$5 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 21¢ | 10¢ | -$14 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 17¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $8 | 50¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
 Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$5 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 44¢ | 78¢ | +$5 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $15 | 49¢ | 35¢ | -$4 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 27¢ | 13¢ | -$11 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 43¢ | 20¢ | -$12 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 50¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 35¢ | 62¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 28¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 50¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 38¢ | 22¢ | -$5 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 32¢ | 9.5¢ | -$18 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 34¢ | 47¢ | +$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Politics | Yes | $9 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$3 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 28¢ | 8.5¢ | -$15 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 71¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 48¢ | 17¢ | -$11 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | Yes | $11 | 14¢ | 7.5¢ | -$5 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 43¢ | 13¢ | -$14 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 49¢ | 23¢ | -$7 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $8 | 26¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $7 | 49¢ | 35¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 30¢ | 15¢ | -$5 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $24 | 32¢ | 6.5¢ | -$19 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 46¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $3 | 50¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Politics | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $2 | 39¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Politics | Yes | $6 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 9.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 9.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 29¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $5 | 16¢ | 5.3¢ | -$3 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 46¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 29¢ | -$1 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 31¢ | 9.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | Yes | $22 | 37¢ | 2.1¢ | -$21 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 8.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 6.1¢ | 3.8¢ | -$1 |
 Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Bought Yes · Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026?$21d ago