HD45 · Whale Watch

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HD45

Predicting since Dec 202527 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $10K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $11K riding on Brazil Presidential Election.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$11K	46¢	28¢	-$4.3K
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$6.1K	30¢	34¢	+$803
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2.9K	58¢	62¢	+$175
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics	No	$2.6K	25¢	25¢	+$11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.9K	39¢	42¢	+$125
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics	No	$1.1K	18¢	19¢	+$49
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$985	24¢	26¢	+$49
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$660	42¢	43¢	+$8
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$175	28¢	34¢	+$34
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$36	54¢	19¢	-$24
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?Mentions	YesResolved	$5	60¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 30–35%?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Culture	NoResolved	$524	95¢	0.0¢	-$524
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics	YesResolved	$363	33¢	0.0¢	-$363
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?Politics	YesResolved	$3.3K	46¢	0.0¢	-$3.3K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$10K

Culture-$514

Mentions+$230

Biggest hit

+$561

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Toughest beat

-$3.0K

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$16848m ago
Bought No · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$421h ago
Bought No · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$62h ago
Bought No · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$43h ago
Bought No · Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?$44010h ago
Sold No · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$11d ago
Sold No · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$211d ago
Sold No · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$01d ago
Sold No · Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$52d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$1042d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$132d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$142d ago