Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $21 | 55¢ | 43¢ | -$5 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 36¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?College Football | YesResolved | $3 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Meta reach $770 in December?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?Politics | YesResolved | $81 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?Crypto | YesResolved | $4 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?Crypto | YesResolved | $11 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberPolitics | NoResolved | $3 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |