← Whale Watch

win-at-all-cost

Predicting since Apr 20262,498 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.1K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $1.0K across 16 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$27417¢20¢+$55
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$24017¢16¢-$12
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$19617¢7.2¢-$111
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?PoliticsYes$2617¢20¢+$5
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?PoliticsYes$1317¢32¢+$12
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.0¢12¢+$19
Will Óscar Pareja win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢44¢+$17
Will Yoann Damet win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢39¢+$15
Will Gregg Berhalter win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢38¢+$14
Will Eric Quill win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢37¢+$14
Will Bruce Arena win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢35¢+$13
Will Matt Wells win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢34¢+$13
Will Dean Smith win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢33¢+$12
Will Robin Fraser win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢33¢+$12
Will Jesper Sørensen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢43¢+$11
Will Greg Vanney win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢42¢+$11
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsYes$31.6¢5.9¢+$7
Will Pablo Mastroeni win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢23¢+$8
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$12.1¢34¢+$8
Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢89¢+$7
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.0¢4.2¢+$7
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Vancouver Whitecaps FC next?Soccer (other)Yes$02.1¢47¢+$6
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for St. Louis CITY SC next?Soccer (other)Yes$02.1¢47¢+$6
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Toronto FC next?Soccer (other)Yes$02.1¢46¢+$6
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Real Salt Lake next?Soccer (other)Yes$02.1¢46¢+$6
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for FC Cincinnati next?Soccer (other)Yes$02.1¢45¢+$6
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Austin FC next?Soccer (other)Yes$02.1¢45¢+$6
Will Joey Bosa play for New York Jets in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢44¢+$5
Will Joey Bosa play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢43¢+$5
Will Marco Donadel win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢18¢+$4
Will B.J. Callaghan win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢12¢+$4
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$35.3¢7.2¢+$1
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?PoliticsYes$1817¢3.5¢-$15
Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$12.1¢14¢+$3
Will George Pickens play for Green Bay Packers in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢42¢+$3
Will George Pickens play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢41¢+$3
Will George Pickens play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢40¢+$3
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$00.5¢97¢+$3
Will George Pickens play for Arizona Cardinals in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢37¢+$3
Will Henrik Rydström win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢9.9¢+$2
Will George Pickens play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢32¢+$2
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$23.1¢3.1¢-$0
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.0¢1.1¢+$2
Will Justin Kirk be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsYes$34.8¢2.7¢-$1
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$00.0¢0.9¢+$2
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$00.2¢2.6¢+$1
Will George Pickens play for New York Jets in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢19¢+$1
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Nashville SC next?Soccer (other)Yes$02.1¢9.9¢+$1
Will Joey Bosa play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢9.5¢+$1
Will Michael Bradley win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢3.1¢+$0
Will Pascal Jansen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?MLSYes$12.2¢3.1¢+$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$119¢42¢+$1
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$164¢78¢+$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$71.9¢0.0¢-$7
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia?World CupYesResolved$255.9¢0.0¢-$25
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$113.6¢0.0¢-$11
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: Iraq 2 - 0 Norway?World CupYesResolved$115.9¢0.0¢-$11
Will Josh Hart win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?NBAYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will a player representing Saudi Arabia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Uruguay concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Karim Lopez be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?NBAYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Curaçao score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$17.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Türkiye concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will James Harden win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?NBAYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$255.3¢0.0¢-$25
Will Ecuador concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Tunisia?World CupYesResolved$255.9¢0.0¢-$25
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?World CupYesResolved$105.9¢0.0¢-$10
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia?World CupYesResolved$255.9¢0.0¢-$25
Will a player representing South Korea be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$113.6¢0.0¢-$11
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Algeria?World CupYesResolved$105.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?Other sportsYesResolved$504.8¢0.0¢-$50
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$71.9¢0.0¢-$7
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Canada concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Australia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Christina Loren Clement be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will a player representing Scotland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?World CupYesResolved$105.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$83.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$316.7¢0.0¢-$31
Will Germany concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World CupYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will a player representing Qatar be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will a player representing Tunisia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?PoliticsYesResolved$505.3¢0.0¢-$50
Will Ivan Saric win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia?Other sportsYesResolved$504.8¢0.0¢-$50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?PoliticsYesResolved$16.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bill Gates buy the Seattle Seahawks?NFLYesResolved$14.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?CultureYesResolved$6320¢0.0¢-$63
Will Panama score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.1K
World Cup-$909
Bundesliga+$542
Other sports-$408
Golf-$208
Tech-$191
MLS+$151
NBA+$129
NFL-$120
Soccer (other)+$64
Economy-$27
Weather+$26
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.7K
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?$11d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?$12d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?$410d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will another buyer buy the Seattle Seahawks?$6113d ago
  • CONVERSION "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office$121d ago
  • CONVERSION "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office$8521d ago
  • CONVERSION "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office$36221d ago
  • MERGE Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?$6421d ago
  • MERGE Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?$6421d ago
  • CONVERSION "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office$6421d ago