 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $7.5K | 50¢ | 76¢ | +$3.9K |
 Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Politics | No | $4.9K | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$9 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7.5K | 50¢ | 24¢ | -$3.9K |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech | Yes | $313 | 39¢ | 37¢ | -$18 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Tech | No | $88 | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$98 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $130 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$15 |
 Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $542 | 47¢ | 10¢ | -$427 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $44 | 4.8¢ | 12¢ | +$68 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Politics | Yes | $56 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$18 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Tech | Yes | $100 | 5.5¢ | 4.1¢ | -$26 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Tech | No | $62 | 7.5¢ | 8.9¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $34 | 86¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Tech | Yes | $26 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$4 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | Yes | $28 | 2.8¢ | 2.9¢ | +$2 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $37 | 47¢ | 38¢ | -$7 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $46 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$20 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Tech | No | $18 | 97¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Culture | No | $22 | 48¢ | 39¢ | -$4 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 12¢ | 1.9¢ | -$40 |
 Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 8.0¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Tech | Yes | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$5 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $56 | 11¢ | 0.7¢ | -$53 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $7 | 83¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $9 | 10¢ | 2.1¢ | -$7 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1 | 59¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $48 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech | NoResolved | $68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
 Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $89 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
 Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $80 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $247 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $46 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $12 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Culture | NoResolved | $12K | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12K |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $14 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $56 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?Culture | NoResolved | $1.5K | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will "Canada" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?Other sports | YesResolved | $4 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $21 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $121 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 5 and 6 days?Culture | YesResolved | $21 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?MLB | YesResolved | $44 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $245 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$245 |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a skeleton?Culture | YesResolved | $87 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $24 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $124 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
 Another RFK Jr animal rescue by June 30?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $71 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $26 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $2.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $152 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $62 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?Culture | NoResolved | $2.5K | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $67 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 4 and 5 days?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will "UK" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?Other sports | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall?Weather | YesResolved | $269 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$269 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in May?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600B on August 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by magic?Culture | NoResolved | $76 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |