Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $25K | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$15K |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $25K | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$15K |
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | No | $169 | 50¢ | 82¢ | +$108 |
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $130 | 38¢ | 67¢ | +$98 |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $224 | 60¢ | 52¢ | -$31 |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech | Yes | $94 | 31¢ | 62¢ | +$92 |
| Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $56 | 40¢ | 90¢ | +$69 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $147 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$32 |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $22 | 28¢ | 83¢ | +$44 |
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | Yes | $71 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$5 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $56 | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $161 | 11¢ | 3.4¢ | -$114 |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $34 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $121 | 8.8¢ | 2.4¢ | -$89 |
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Culture | No | $22 | 48¢ | 57¢ | +$4 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Economy | No | $26 | 63¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $19 | 40¢ | 45¢ | +$2 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 12¢ | 4.3¢ | -$31 |
Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $11 | 8.4¢ | 8.3¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $123 | 9.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$114 |
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 8.0¢ | 10¢ | +$1 |
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?eSports | Yes | $15 | 6.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$9 |
Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $7 | 83¢ | 56¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $48 | 8.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$44 |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $9 | 10¢ | 4.2¢ | -$6 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1 | 59¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech | NoResolved | $68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $89 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $80 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $1.00T on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $14 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $21 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 5 and 6 days?Culture | YesResolved | $21 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?MLB | YesResolved | $44 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $245 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$245 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $24 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Another RFK Jr animal rescue by June 30?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $71 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Tech | NoResolved | $26 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $62 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $67 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
Will Ant Middleton summit Everest in between 4 and 5 days?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in May?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 17?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on May 31?Economy | YesResolved | $131 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Mentions | YesResolved | $47 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $71 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |