← Whale Watch

Tian-Wen

Predicting since Jul 20242,677 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $18K on Mentions markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $99K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally? .

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$25K50¢99¢+$25K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$10K50¢88¢+$7.5K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$10K50¢80¢+$6.0K
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$4.5K50¢98¢+$4.4K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10K50¢20¢-$6.0K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10K50¢12¢-$7.5K
Will Trump say "Oil" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$33279¢88¢+$36
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$25K50¢0.7¢-$25K
Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?MentionsYes$21654¢74¢+$79
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$41613¢9.0¢-$129
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherYes$57156¢28¢-$291
Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$16766¢89¢+$56
Will Trump say "Landslide" this week?MentionsYes$17364¢77¢+$34
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?MentionsYes$13747¢61¢+$40
Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$11451¢74¢+$51
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$14456¢62¢+$15
Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$9950¢76¢+$52
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$12966¢76¢+$19
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.5K50¢1.6¢-$4.4K
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$7972¢77¢+$5
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$5610¢14¢+$21
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?PoliticsYes$497.0¢8.5¢+$11
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$3964¢80¢+$9
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?MentionsYes$3561¢84¢+$13
Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?MentionsYes$2626¢28¢+$3
Will Trump say "Ronaldo" this week?MentionsYes$1229.6¢2.0¢-$97
Will Trump say "Whale" in July?MentionsYes$2711¢9.5¢-$5
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in July?MentionsYes$3247¢31¢-$11
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?PoliticsYes$2072¢74¢+$0
Will Trump post "Lindsey" or "Graham" on Truth Social this week?MentionsYes$2191¢83¢-$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$324¢73¢+$7
Will Trump say "Messi" this week?MentionsYes$3817¢3.1¢-$31
Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?MentionsYes$584¢70¢-$1
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by July 31?PoliticsYes$643¢31¢-$2
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$235¢78¢+$2
Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$235¢47¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Mentions+$18K
Politics+$5.1K
NFL-$1.7K
Crypto-$769
Weather-$291
Other-$200
Culture+$57
Tech-$0
Biggest hit
+$2.6K
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally?
Toughest beat
-$710
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?$202h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Landslide" this week?$1752h ago
  • Sold No · Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$273h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$1543h ago
  • SPLIT Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.0K5h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2425h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$2.7K5h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "No No No" this week?$36h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?$27h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "No No No" this week?$38h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?$1798h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?$49h ago