← Whale Watch

ligmaaaaa

Predicting since Jul 2024130 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $73K on Crypto markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $22K riding on Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?.

Biggest hit: +$22K on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1008.4¢5.5¢-$35
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$50414¢0.0¢-$504
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$8.0K20¢0.0¢-$8.0K
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-05-16?Soccer (other)YesResolved$12518¢0.0¢-$125
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4.1K86¢0.0¢-$4.1K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$1000.9¢0.0¢-$100
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureYesResolved$207.7¢0.0¢-$20
Falcons vs. PanthersNFLFalconsResolved$170¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$17121¢0.0¢-$171
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?PoliticsNoResolved$21437¢0.0¢-$214
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$102.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2004.0¢0.0¢-$200
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$19170¢0.0¢-$191
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2.5K19¢0.0¢-$2.5K
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?FinanceDownResolved$16226¢0.0¢-$162
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6.4K80¢0.0¢-$6.4K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$19911¢0.0¢-$199
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$2003.5¢0.0¢-$200
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$14014¢0.0¢-$140
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?CryptoNoResolved$101.1¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3.7K76¢0.0¢-$3.7K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$29550¢0.0¢-$295
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5008.3¢0.0¢-$500
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFLNoResolved$2833¢0.0¢-$28
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$22K86¢0.0¢-$22K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$12012¢0.0¢-$120
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$23548¢0.0¢-$235
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$46613¢0.0¢-$466
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9851¢0.0¢-$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$401.8¢0.0¢-$40
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1001.1¢0.0¢-$100
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1002.0¢0.0¢-$100
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$4.8K64¢0.0¢-$4.8K
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$10026¢0.0¢-$100
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$20020¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$22545¢0.0¢-$225
Will Ty Simpson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?NFLYesResolved$101.4¢0.0¢-$10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$12012¢0.0¢-$120
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?PoliticsYesResolved$25035¢0.0¢-$250
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$3500.1¢0.0¢-$350

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$73K
Politics+$47K
NBA-$7.8K
NFL+$1.3K
Culture+$805
Finance-$166
Soccer (other)-$125
Economy+$9
Biggest hit
+$22K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$66K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.9K15d ago
  • Sold No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$116d ago
  • Sold No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$41616d ago
  • Sold No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$516d ago
  • Sold No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$37016d ago
  • Sold No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$8824d ago
  • Sold No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1024d ago