← Whale Watch

cyw2

Predicting since Dec 2025715 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?PoliticsYes$224¢98¢+$7
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$778¢95¢+$2
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$742¢48¢+$1
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$738¢43¢+$1
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$840¢38¢-$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$741¢40¢-$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$673¢84¢+$1
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$547¢65¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$528¢34¢+$1
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechYes$712¢9.5¢-$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$454¢63¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$362¢99¢+$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$481¢89¢+$0
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsNo$362¢84¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$114¢42¢+$3
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?PoliticsNo$357¢78¢+$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsNo$225¢43¢+$1
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$237¢60¢+$1
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$369¢55¢-$1
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsYes$451¢32¢-$2
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$363¢52¢-$1
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$16.0¢6.0¢+$0
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?Premier LeagueNoResolved$338¢0.0¢-$3
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$325¢0.0¢-$3
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$856¢0.0¢-$8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueNoResolved$921¢0.0¢-$9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia PotapovaTennisLiudmila SamsonovaResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?PoliticsYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?PoliticsYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?La LigaNoResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageeSportsmagicResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$742¢0.0¢-$7
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?Soccer (other)NoResolved$544¢0.0¢-$5
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)YesResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$14.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nick Albares be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageeSportsGentle MatesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?PoliticsYesResolved$443¢0.0¢-$4
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?Soccer (other)YesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?Soccer (other)YesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)eSportsmagicResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?TechNoResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?FinanceDownResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueNoResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil MedvedevTennisDaniil MedvedevResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$620¢0.0¢-$6
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnereSportsSpiritResolved$144¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AeSportsFaZeResolved$162¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$24.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$616¢0.0¢-$6
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?TechNoResolved$431¢0.0¢-$4
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?La LigaNoResolved$163¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1643¢0.0¢-$16
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?PoliticsYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?La LigaNoResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageeSportsG2Resolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?PoliticsYesResolved$626¢0.0¢-$6
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$276¢0.0¢-$2
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5NBAUnderResolved$144¢0.0¢-$1
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$886¢0.0¢-$8
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?PoliticsNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Thunder vs. LakersNBALakersResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$36.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)eSportsThe Huns EsportsResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports - Map 1 WinnereSportsThe Huns EsportsResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$768¢0.0¢-$7
Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?Soccer (other)NoResolved$557¢0.0¢-$5
Will Everton Blair Jr. be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$334¢0.0¢-$3
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesNBATimberwolvesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?PoliticsYesResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$433¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$862¢0.0¢-$8
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?MentionsNoResolved$13.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Powell say "Middle East" during April press conference?MentionsNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 WinnereSportsG2Resolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffseSportsVitalityResolved$478¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$47
NFL+$40
Mentions+$34
Crypto+$29
Premier League-$14
Tennis+$13
World Cup-$11
Weather+$11
UFC / MMA+$10
NHL+$9
Tech+$7
Bundesliga+$6
Biggest hit
+$42
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$8
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$1217d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$519d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-04?$421d ago
  • Cashed out Under · Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5$221d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-04?$121d ago
  • Bought Under · Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5$221d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-04?$221d ago
  • Sold No · Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$022d ago
  • Sold No · Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$122d ago
  • Bought No · Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$122d ago
  • Bought No · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$122d ago
  • Bought No · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$122d ago