← Whale Watch

0x6c10…df5c

Predicting since Jul 2023900 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $80K on Politics markets since Jul 2023.

Right now: $21K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$5.3K on Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$21K93¢99¢+$1.5K
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$7.5K83¢89¢+$510
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$6.2K70¢75¢+$406
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.4K90¢93¢+$172
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$4.5K82¢94¢+$628
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoNo$3.2K77¢94¢+$710
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?PoliticsNo$3.5K83¢90¢+$253
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$3.2K75¢77¢+$83
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsYes$2.7K81¢91¢+$328
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.1K40¢50¢+$498
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.5K82¢81¢-$51
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2.4K24¢24¢+$5
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K86¢89¢+$66
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K69¢69¢+$16
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.9K87¢91¢+$71
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.8K86¢89¢+$64
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$1.7K79¢84¢+$105
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.6K78¢80¢+$43
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoNo$1.3K77¢97¢+$329
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K84¢85¢+$16
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.6K87¢87¢-$6
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.5K89¢92¢+$43
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.5K76¢78¢+$35
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.3K88¢90¢+$24
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoNo$1.1K95¢99¢+$57
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.0K89¢91¢+$12
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.0K64¢65¢+$12
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?CryptoNo$95996¢99¢+$34
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$88088¢96¢+$78
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$80477¢88¢+$120
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$91091¢91¢-$5
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$80890¢96¢+$53
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K76¢52¢-$392
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechYes$80097¢97¢+$2
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$75489¢90¢+$4
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$73489¢91¢+$12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$74493¢92¢-$8
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$71469¢69¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$58849¢57¢+$102
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechNo$54780¢90¢+$67
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoNo$51686¢98¢+$72
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$52888¢96¢+$49
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$58089¢89¢-$3
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$55190¢92¢+$9
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$52576¢77¢+$4
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$50091¢94¢+$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$42671¢83¢+$69
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$46388¢94¢+$31
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$46593¢92¢-$5
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?EconomyNo$45090¢90¢-$3
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$36652¢61¢+$58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoNo$35288¢98¢+$41
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?CultureNo$35288¢86¢-$8
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsNo$30877¢84¢+$26
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$28487¢96¢+$28
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$36291¢74¢-$64
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?PoliticsYes$28692¢96¢+$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$27792¢98¢+$17
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$25585¢96¢+$33
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$28396¢97¢+$4
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?CultureNo$28292¢93¢+$2
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$26183¢84¢+$2
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$23895¢98¢+$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?CryptoNo$18747¢58¢+$44
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$23992¢86¢-$17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$12943¢65¢+$66
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$18992¢94¢+$4
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsYes$17085¢88¢+$5
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?PoliticsNo$16080¢79¢-$3
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?PoliticsNo$15193¢95¢+$3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$11859¢77¢+$35
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$12583¢100¢+$25
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13892¢96¢+$7
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$13492¢98¢+$9
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$7651¢95¢+$65
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?TechNo$10050¢64¢+$29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$10735¢41¢+$15
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$11055¢56¢+$3
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7660¢86¢+$32
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$14837¢27¢-$40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$10854¢52¢-$4
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$10192¢94¢+$3
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$9290¢97¢+$7
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?PoliticsNo$8080¢99¢+$19
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$9797¢98¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?PoliticsNo$9292¢98¢+$6
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$8989¢98¢+$9
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$9090¢96¢+$6
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$9090¢94¢+$4
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechNo$7070¢93¢+$22
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsNo$8080¢89¢+$9
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7070¢89¢+$19
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$20582¢35¢-$117
Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsNo$6868¢72¢+$3
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$6086¢87¢+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceNo$8282¢54¢-$28
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$6660¢48¢-$13
Will BP be acquired before 2027?TechNo$4884¢90¢+$3
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?EconomyNo$4997¢99¢+$1
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?EconomyYes$4336¢42¢+$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$80K
World Cup+$29K
Crypto+$3.9K
NFL+$3.7K
Finance-$934
Culture-$562
Formula 1-$497
Economy+$466
Mentions+$459
Champions League+$390
Soccer (other)+$158
Basketball (other)+$144
Biggest hit
+$5.3K
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$53K
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?$816m ago
  • Bought No · Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?$1572h ago
  • Bought No · Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?$42h ago
  • Bought No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?$93h ago
  • Bought No · Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?$1154h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$315h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$65h ago
  • Bought No · Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?$26h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$56h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$36h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$316h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$46h ago