| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $112 | 41¢ | 95¢ | +$145 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $218 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$39 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $142 | 47¢ | 73¢ | +$80 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $133 | 60¢ | 99¢ | +$87 |
 Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $217 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $187 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$19 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $96 | 33¢ | 58¢ | +$74 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $179 | 85¢ | 79¢ | -$14 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $96 | 48¢ | 63¢ | +$29 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $121 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $56 | 1.1¢ | 2.1¢ | +$58 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $88 | 4.2¢ | 5.1¢ | +$21 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $160 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$55 |
 Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Culture | Yes | $102 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will Trump’s remarks not air?Mentions | No | $82 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 92¢ | 86¢ | -$5 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $72 | 73¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | No | $66 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $56 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sports | No | $49 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$6 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $44 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $53 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $50 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $49 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Other | Yes | $63 | 55¢ | 41¢ | -$16 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | No | $38 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $27 | 9.7¢ | 14¢ | +$13 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 61¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$1 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $15 | 31¢ | 75¢ | +$21 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $31 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $22 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$5 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $39 | 13¢ | 9.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $27 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | No | $22 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
| Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $27 | 33¢ | 28¢ | -$4 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 71¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $18 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $19 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 31¢ | 36¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Tech | Yes | $17 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 40¢ | 31¢ | -$5 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $15 | 5.2¢ | 5.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | -$7 |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $13 | 52¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $12 | 2.2¢ | 2.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | Yes | $11 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $164 | 60¢ | 3.9¢ | -$153 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 1.6¢ | +$5 |
| Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $10 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $12 | 73¢ | 60¢ | -$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $8 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $6 | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.6¢ | 2.1¢ | +$2 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $32 | 28¢ | 5.5¢ | -$26 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 10¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $5 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Culture | No | $4 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?Tech | Yes | $4 | 29¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $73 | 16¢ | 0.5¢ | -$70 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 97¢ | 14¢ | -$12 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.1¢ | 5.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 10¢ | -$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.3¢ | 0.5¢ | -$14 |
Cashed out Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$652h ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?$68h ago